--- title: "Skeletal case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Skeletal ($30.01) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.19% from 15 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/skeletal rendered: 2026-11-11T14:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Skeletal](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/skeletal) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Skeletal A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/skeletal?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/skeletal?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/skeletal) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/skeletal?window=all) Price · $30.01 · 48.86 coins Advertised RTP · 91.19% · EV $27.37 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 5.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.9% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/skeletal?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/skeletal?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/skeletal) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/skeletal?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $2,801 4,560 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,295 2,107 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $512 834 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-night-stripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $361 588 coins | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 111 | $235 382 coins | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 61 | $166 270 coins | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $105 171 coins | 13.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $72.03 117 coins | 14.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $61.80 101 coins | 14.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $45.22 73.62 coins | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $37.18 60.52 coins | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $31.79 51.75 coins | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-well-worn) | 20.0% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P90 \| Grim (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Acheron (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 09:22 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=skeletal) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $30.01 | 91.19% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.1% covert 24.3% Covert 0.3% covert knife 1.7% classified 13.7% #4b69ff 40.0% milspec 20.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.19 on average: an expected loss of $8.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt