--- title: "Stronghold case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Stronghold ($10,264.18) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 11 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/stronghold rendered: 2026-11-12T11:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Stronghold](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/stronghold) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Stronghold A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/stronghold?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/stronghold?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/stronghold) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/stronghold?window=all) Price · $10,264.18 · 16,709 coins Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $9,360.93 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 18.4% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 71.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/stronghold?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/stronghold?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/stronghold) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/stronghold?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $251K 408,013 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 714 | $150K 243,792 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 118 | $71.8K 116,813 coins | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo) | 1 in 51 | $44.3K 72,120 coins | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) | 1 in 31 | $28.5K 46,410 coins | 9.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo) | 1 in 22 | $23.6K 38,400 coins | 11.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $19.3K 31,405 coins | 15.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 10.7% | $13.6K 22,214 coins | 15.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 17.9% | $7,571 12,325 coins | 14.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) | 23.7% | $3,797 6,181 coins | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 29.4% | $1,481 2,412 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 12 Nov, 09:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=stronghold) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $10.3K | 91.20% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 47.5% Immortal 0.9% other 6.5% base 3.2% gold 7.7% extraordinary 10.7% restricted 23.7% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt