---
title: "Supreme case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Supreme ($9.39) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.22% from 6 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/supreme
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:41Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Supreme](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/supreme)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Supreme

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/supreme?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/supreme?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/supreme) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/supreme?window=all)

Price · $9.39 · 15.28 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.22% · EV $8.56 from 6 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 90.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 200 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/supreme?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/supreme?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/supreme) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/supreme?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 5,000 | $2,125 3,460 coins | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $1,335 2,173 coins | 12.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 769 | $1,063 1,730 coins | 16.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 370 | $829 1,349 coins | 26.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $689 1,122 coins | 40.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Goofy (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-goofy-blood-red) | 99.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=supreme)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $9.39 | 91.22% | 6 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.2% classified 0.3% extraordinary 0.5% Base Grade 99.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.22 on average: an expected loss of $8.78 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt