---
title: "T Upgrade case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "T Upgrade ($9.14) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.19% from 18 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/t-upgrade
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [T Upgrade](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/t-upgrade)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · T Upgrade

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/t-upgrade?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/t-upgrade?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/t-upgrade) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/t-upgrade?window=all)

Price · $9.14 · 14.88 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.19% · EV $8.33 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 4.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/t-upgrade?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/t-upgrade?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/t-upgrade) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/t-upgrade?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $767 1,249 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $404 658 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-factory-new) | 1 in 714 | $159 259 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $129 210 coins | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $94.61 154 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir SG 553 \| Hazard Pay (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sg-553-hazard-pay-field-tested) | 1 in 167 | $71.40 116 coins | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 1 in 118 | $55.89 90.99 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $26.66 43.4 coins | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $22.33 36.35 coins | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $19.82 32.26 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $18.08 29.43 coins | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Hades (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-hades-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $15.05 24.5 coins | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $14.18 23.09 coins | 9.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $12.03 19.59 coins | 9.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Dusk Ruins (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-dusk-ruins-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $10.33 16.81 coins | 9.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Tatter (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tatter-field-tested) | 10.0% | $5.85 9.52 coins | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Contractor (Minimal Wear) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-contractor-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $1.72 2.8 coins | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Serenity (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-serenity-battle-scarred) | 30.0% | $0.86 1.4 coins | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=t-upgrade)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $9.14 | 91.19% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 0.8% covert 5.6% mil spec 2.3% restricted 18.7% industrial 3.6% pink 6.5% #4b69ff 7.5% other 25.0% #8847ff 30.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.19 on average: an expected loss of $8.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt