--- title: "The Aether case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Aether ($3,115.49) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 11 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/the-aether rendered: 2026-11-11T16:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [The Aether](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/the-aether) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · The Aether A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/the-aether?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/the-aether?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/the-aether) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/the-aether?window=all) Price · $3,115.49 · 5,072 coins Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $2,841.33 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 5.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/the-aether?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/the-aether?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/the-aether) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/the-aether?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $138K 225,279 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo) | 1 in 526 | $67.7K 110,136 coins | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo) | 1 in 164 | $46.1K 75,093 coins | 9.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $20K 32,540 coins | 14.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $11.5K 18,673 coins | 24.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 15 | $7,996 13,016 coins | 19.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $5,228 8,511 coins | 15.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 18 | $3,998 6,508 coins | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-forest-night-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.17 0.28 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| High Beam (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-high-beam-factory-new) | 24.9% | $0.09 0.14 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-factory-new) | 20.1% | $0.09 0.14 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=the-aether) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $3,115 | 91.20% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 18.6% other 0.8% extraordinary 10.6% gray 25.0% light blue 24.9% #4b69ff 20.1% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt