--- title: "Thunder Strike case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Thunder Strike ($5.31) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.24% from 14 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/thunder-strike rendered: 2026-11-11T13:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Thunder Strike](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/thunder-strike) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Thunder Strike A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/thunder-strike?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/thunder-strike?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/thunder-strike) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/thunder-strike?window=all) Price · $5.31 · 8.64 coins Advertised RTP · 91.24% · EV $4.84 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 29.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 93 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/thunder-strike?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/thunder-strike?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/thunder-strike) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/thunder-strike?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $420 683 coins | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 800 | $368 598 coins | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $327 532 coins | 13.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $292 475 coins | 12.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 222 | $105 171 coins | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 118 | $93.72 153 coins | 16.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 47 | $11.79 19.19 coins | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $8.37 13.63 coins | 11.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $2.72 4.43 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $2.70 4.4 coins | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Demolition (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-demolition-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $2.50 4.07 coins | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $0.47 0.77 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Distressed (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-well-worn) | 25.0% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP7 \| Sunbaked (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-sunbaked-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 09:22 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=thunder-strike) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $5.31 | 91.24% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.6% extraordinary 0.3% classified 12.3% mil spec 6.9% restricted 34.0% #4b69ff 25.0% Common 20.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.24 on average: an expected loss of $8.76 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt