---
title: "Tiger Strike case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Tiger Strike ($12.64) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 17 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tiger-strike
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:54Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Tiger Strike](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tiger-strike)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Tiger Strike

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tiger-strike?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tiger-strike?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tiger-strike) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tiger-strike?window=all)

Price · $12.64 · 20.57 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $11.52 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 4.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tiger-strike?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tiger-strike?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tiger-strike) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tiger-strike?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $984 1,602 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $615 1,001 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 714 | $177 288 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $135 220 coins | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 135 | $106 172 coins | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $79.95 130 coins | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Stalker (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-stalker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $56.58 92.11 coins | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $41.82 68.08 coins | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $32.60 53.07 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-monkey-business-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $28.29 46.06 coins | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $23.37 38.05 coins | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $20.91 34.04 coins | 10.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-orange-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $16.60 27.03 coins | 10.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $14.15 23.03 coins | 12.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-factory-new) | 12.4% | $12.92 21.03 coins | 13.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Orange Peel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-orange-peel-field-tested) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Orange Peel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-field-tested) | 30.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=tiger-strike)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $12.64 | 91.20% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 7.8% epic 0.1% classified 16.8% mil spec 5.7% restricted 19.7% industrial 50.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt