---
title: "Toucan case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Toucan ($39.62) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 20 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toucan
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:44Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Toucan](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toucan)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Toucan

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toucan?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toucan?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toucan) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toucan?window=all)

Price · $39.62 · 64.5 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $36.13 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 31.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 37.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toucan?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toucan?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toucan) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toucan?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $1,151 1,873 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $762 1,240 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 11,111 | $757 1,233 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $734 1,195 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $550 895 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $367 598 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,439 | $329 535 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,205 | $256 417 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 556 | $146 238 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 233 | $91.82 149 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Battle-Scarred) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-battle-scarred) | 1 in 71 | $68.38 111 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Convoy (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-convoy-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $61.68 100 coins | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $57.74 93.99 coins | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $54.57 88.84 coins | 11.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-field-tested) | 12.7% | $51.02 83.06 coins | 17.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-battle-scarred) | 16.0% | $46.95 76.43 coins | 20.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 15.3% | $39.98 65.08 coins | 16.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $24.85 40.46 coins | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $10.93 17.8 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 18.8% | $3.68 5.99 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=toucan)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $39.62 | 91.20% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 0.0% covert 0.3% covert knife 0.5% Covert 15.3% gold 1.4% extraordinary 45.3% Ancient 9.8% classified 27.5%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt