---
title: "Touch Of Lore case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Touch Of Lore ($36.94) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.19% from 12 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/touch-of-lore
rendered: 2026-11-12T05:09Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Touch Of Lore](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/touch-of-lore)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Touch Of Lore

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/touch-of-lore?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/touch-of-lore?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/touch-of-lore) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/touch-of-lore?window=all)

Price · $36.94 · 60.13 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.19% · EV $33.68 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 33.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 47 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/touch-of-lore?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/touch-of-lore?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/touch-of-lore) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/touch-of-lore?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,451 8,873 coins | 16.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $2,139 3,483 coins | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $1,268 2,064 coins | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $871 1,417 coins | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $547 891 coins | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $420 684 coins | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $351 572 coins | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $287 466 coins | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $226 368 coins | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $175 285 coins | 12.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $147 239 coins | 13.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Baby Lore sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-lore) | 90.0% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 12 Nov, 03:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=touch-of-lore)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $36.94 | 91.19% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 9.5% Covert 0.5% high 90.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.19 on average: an expected loss of $8.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
