--- title: "Toxic Waste case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Toxic Waste ($9.41) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.21% from 15 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toxic-waste rendered: 2026-11-11T21:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Toxic Waste](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toxic-waste) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Toxic Waste A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toxic-waste?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toxic-waste?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toxic-waste) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toxic-waste?window=all) Price · $9.41 · 15.32 coins Advertised RTP · 91.21% · EV $8.58 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 5.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toxic-waste?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toxic-waste?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toxic-waste) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toxic-waste?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 5,000 | $858 1,397 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $397 646 coins | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 714 | $157 255 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 106 | $111 180 coins | 12.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $71.04 116 coins | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Flipsid3 Tactics (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flipsid3-tactics-foil) | 1 in 57 | $50.74 82.6 coins | 10.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $28.60 46.56 coins | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $22.14 36.04 coins | 17.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $18.45 30.04 coins | 9.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $13.84 22.53 coins | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Chemical Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $11.99 19.52 coins | 10.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Visions (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-visions-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $10.15 16.52 coins | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir MP7 \| Tall Grass (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-tall-grass-field-tested) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sawed-Off \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Fubar (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fubar-well-worn) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=toxic-waste) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $9.41 | 91.21% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.6% extraordinary 0.1% restricted 7.5% other 1.8% #8847ff 2.5% Mythical 6.7% mil spec 24.2% industrial 7.4% #d32ee6 9.2% #5E98D9 20.0% consumer 20.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.21 on average: an expected loss of $8.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt