--- title: "Tranquillity case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Tranquillity ($11.29) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.21% from 22 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tranquillity rendered: 2026-11-11T17:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Tranquillity](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tranquillity) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Tranquillity A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tranquillity?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tranquillity?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tranquillity) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tranquillity?window=all) Price · $11.29 · 18.38 coins Advertised RTP · 91.21% · EV $10.30 from 22 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 35.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tranquillity?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tranquillity?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tranquillity) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tranquillity?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 20,000 | $719 1,170 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,667 | $498 810 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $464 756 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $442 720 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $332 540 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $204 333 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $160 261 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $111 180 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $93.94 153 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $77.34 126 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| Phoenix Blacklight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-phoenix-blacklight-factory-new) | 1 in 556 | $44.22 71.99 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $27.01 43.97 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-well-worn) | 1 in 71 | $22.11 35.99 coins | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $20.45 33.29 coins | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $17.11 27.85 coins | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $16.01 26.06 coins | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $14.91 24.27 coins | 12.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-factory-new) | 10.5% | $14.40 23.45 coins | 14.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) | 13.5% | $12.70 20.68 coins | 16.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) | 15.0% | $8.21 13.36 coins | 12.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 16.3% | $4.90 7.98 coins | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-well-worn) | 19.5% | $1.96 3.19 coins | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=tranquillity) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $11.29 | 91.21% | 22 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.2% covert knife 0.0% classified 27.2% #d32ee6 19.5% restricted 0.2% Classified 1.4% Legendary 8.5% violet 25.5% pink 13.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.21 on average: an expected loss of $8.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt