--- title: "Tropical Blossom case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Tropical Blossom ($34.17) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 14 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tropical-blossom rendered: 2026-11-12T02:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Tropical Blossom](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tropical-blossom) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Tropical Blossom A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tropical-blossom?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tropical-blossom?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tropical-blossom) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tropical-blossom?window=all) Price · $34.17 · 55.63 coins Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $31.17 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 30.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 56 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tropical-blossom?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tropical-blossom?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tropical-blossom) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tropical-blossom?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $5,859 9,538 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 2,857 | $4,688 7,632 coins | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,667 | $2,852 4,642 coins | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP9 \| Wild Lily (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $2,076 3,379 coins | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $1,714 2,790 coins | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 690 | $1,205 1,962 coins | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 370 | $977 1,591 coins | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 213 | $804 1,308 coins | 12.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 161 | $569 926 coins | 11.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 116 | $485 790 coins | 13.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 97 | $402 655 coins | 13.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) | 1 in 75 | $302 491 coins | 12.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Negev \| Bulkhead (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bulkhead-battle-scarred) | 45.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Off World (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-battle-scarred) | 50.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 21:38 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=tropical-blossom) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $34.17 | 91.20% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.8% classified 0.1% legendary 0.1% extraordinary 1.6% epic 0.5% #87c7ff 45.0% #4b69ff 50.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt