--- title: "Wildfire case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Wildfire ($0.82) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.52% from 14 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/wildfire rendered: 2026-11-11T16:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Wildfire](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/wildfire) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Wildfire A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/wildfire?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/wildfire?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/wildfire) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/wildfire?window=all) Price · $0.82 · 1.33 coins Advertised RTP · 91.52% · EV $0.75 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 24.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/wildfire?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/wildfire?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/wildfire) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/wildfire?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $86.55 141 coins | 11.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $58.25 94.82 coins | 15.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 444 | $27.94 45.49 coins | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $5.73 9.32 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 133 | $5.58 9.09 coins | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 87 | $3.80 6.19 coins | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $2.39 3.89 coins | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $2.20 3.58 coins | 10.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-twist-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $1.16 1.89 coins | 10.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Firefight (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-firefight-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $1.16 1.89 coins | 13.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $0.85 1.38 coins | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Negev \| Drop Me (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Re.built (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-re-built-well-worn) | 25.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P90 \| Freight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=wildfire) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $0.82 | 91.52% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Immortal 0.1% covert 0.4% classified 1.5% red 0.8% blue 2.4% restricted 12.1% mil spec 6.9% Mil Spec Grade 5.9% #4b69ff 20.0% milspec 50.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.52 on average: an expected loss of $8.48 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt