--- title: "Source case on CSGOFAST: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Source ($2.50) on CSGOFAST, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 309.25% over 2,490 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/125 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) / [Source](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/125) # [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) · Source A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/125?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/125?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/125) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/125?window=all) Price · $2.50 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 309.25% · 2,490 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 232 openings · below min 7 days · 299.35% ±42.44 2,182 openings 30 days · 309.25% ±40.50 2,490 openings since tracking started · 309.25% ±40.50 2,490 openings 151.5% 279.0% 406.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/125?window=24h) | 232 | 278.97% ±126.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/125?window=7d) | 2,182 | 299.35% ±42.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/125) | 2,490 | 309.25% ±40.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/125?window=all) | 2,490 | 309.25% ±40.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [Миша Фомичев](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%9C%D0%B8%D1%88%D0%B0%20%D0%A4%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B8%D1%87%D0%B5%D0%B2) $2.50 $214 85.50x 2026-11-11 11:39 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [Chocolate7](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Chocolate7) $2.50 $204 81.50x 2026-11-09 05:49 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [evgeny//](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/evgeny%2F%2F) $2.50 $204 81.50x 2026-11-09 03:45 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [The Boomer Doomer](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/The%20Boomer%20Doomer) $2.50 $204 81.50x 2026-11-09 02:32 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [Камиль Блаченов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%9A%D0%B0%D0%BC%D0%B8%D0%BB%D1%8C%20%D0%91%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%87%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B2) $2.50 $203 81.09x 2026-11-09 18:12 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [\[C\]aniba\[L\] |](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%5BC%5Daniba%5BL%5D%20%7C) $2.50 $203 81.06x 2026-11-05 19:30 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) [AmmarOO7](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/AmmarOO7) $2.50 $178 71.04x 2026-11-07 20:07 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) [TetyaLuba86540](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/TetyaLuba86540) $2.50 $176 70.54x 2026-11-03 22:46 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) [No u](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/No%20u) $2.50 $173 69.23x 2026-11-09 03:45 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) [🍀 André.G 🍀csgofast.com🍀](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%F0%9F%8D%80%20Andr%C3%A9.G%20%F0%9F%8D%80csgofast.com%F0%9F%8D%80) $2.50 $172 68.88x 2026-11-05 23:42 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgofast&case=125) [M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-minimal-wear) [Дед CSGOFAST.COM](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%94%D0%B5%D0%B4%20CSGOFAST.COM) $2.50 $2.18 0.87x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-minimal-wear) [August Ames](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/August%20Ames) $2.50 $2.18 0.87x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-minimal-wear) [KAMA BULLET](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/KAMA%20BULLET) $2.50 $2.18 0.87x 2026-11-11 12:25 UTC [M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-minimal-wear) [ajuh48ajuh48ajuh](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/ajuh48ajuh48ajuh) $2.50 $2.18 0.87x 2026-11-11 12:25 UTC [M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-minimal-wear) [terbio4](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/terbio4) $2.50 $2.18 0.87x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC [M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-minimal-wear) [Tsukuyomi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Tsukuyomi) $2.50 $2.18 0.87x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC [Galil AR | Sandstorm (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sandstorm-well-worn) [Bragos 暗殺者](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Bragos%20%E6%9A%97%E6%AE%BA%E8%80%85) $2.50 $3.07 1.23x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC [M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-minimal-wear) [Bragos 暗殺者](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Bragos%20%E6%9A%97%E6%AE%BA%E8%80%85) $2.50 $2.18 0.87x 2026-11-11 12:02 UTC [M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-minimal-wear) [d-kuchinskiy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/d-kuchinskiy) $2.50 $2.18 0.87x 2026-11-11 12:02 UTC [M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-minimal-wear) [SkarE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/SkarE) $2.50 $2.18 0.87x 2026-11-11 12:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $214 (85.50x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 309.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $309.25 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt