--- title: "Black Mesa case on CSGOFAST: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Black Mesa ($7.00) on CSGOFAST, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 106.04% over 8,166 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/132 rendered: 2026-11-11T16:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) / [Black Mesa](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/132) # [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) · Black Mesa A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/132?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/132?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/132) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/132?window=all) Price · $7.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 106.04% · 8,166 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 103.84% ±27.55 1,109 openings 7 days · 104.13% ±11.04 6,381 openings 30 days · 106.04% ±9.91 8,166 openings since tracking started · 106.04% ±9.91 8,166 openings 75.5% 103.8% 132.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/132?window=24h) | 1,109 | 103.84% ±27.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/132?window=7d) | 6,381 | 104.13% ±11.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/132) | 8,166 | 106.04% ±9.91 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/132?window=all) | 8,166 | 106.04% ±9.91 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-field-tested) [PEXA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/PEXA) $7.00 $757 108.2x 2026-11-11 02:57 UTC [★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-field-tested) [✪Bad Morales](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%E2%9C%AABad%20Morales) $7.00 $757 108.2x 2026-11-09 06:01 UTC [★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-field-tested) [Bartix258](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Bartix258) $7.00 $757 108.2x 2026-11-06 23:56 UTC [★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-field-tested) [asertaamer](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/asertaamer) $7.00 $757 108.2x 2026-11-06 19:51 UTC [★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-field-tested) [akcaakak](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/akcaakak) $7.00 $757 108.2x 2026-11-04 15:52 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Abelelcrack5](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Abelelcrack5) $7.00 $382 54.57x 2026-11-10 21:33 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Баннихоп Мур$](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%91%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%BD%D0%B8%D1%85%D0%BE%D0%BF%20%D0%9C%D1%83%D1%80%24) $7.00 $380 54.29x 2026-11-07 14:39 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) [razikov201499](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/razikov201499) $7.00 $379 54.08x 2026-11-09 08:10 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) [S0MpL3™ YOUTUBE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/S0MpL3%E2%84%A2%20YOUTUBE) $7.00 $378 54.05x 2026-11-11 00:04 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Oii0101010](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Oii0101010) $7.00 $377 53.83x 2026-11-09 03:54 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgofast&case=132) [Dual Berettas | Balance (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-balance-field-tested) [Jack Reacher](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Jack%20Reacher) $7.00 $2.42 0.35x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) [KamenRiderHeisei CSGOFLY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/KamenRiderHeisei%20CSGOFLY) $7.00 $4.97 0.71x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC [PP-Bizon | Osiris (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-osiris-minimal-wear) [gelenadyuzhikova](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/gelenadyuzhikova) $7.00 $3.89 0.56x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) [вйц3а 23а23](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%B2%D0%B9%D1%863%D0%B0%2023%D0%B023) $7.00 $4.97 0.71x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC [PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-osiris-factory-new) [andakaevnurkeldi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/andakaevnurkeldi) $7.00 $6.29 0.90x 2026-11-11 16:44 UTC [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-osiris-minimal-wear) [\*HaRleY\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/*HaRleY*-10409488) $7.00 $4.68 0.67x 2026-11-11 16:44 UTC [P250 | Supernova (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-supernova-field-tested) [DZ88WB-CSGO](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/DZ88WB-CSGO) $7.00 $3.89 0.56x 2026-11-11 16:44 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-minimal-wear) [dsfsfdsfsdfsdfsdf](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/dsfsfdsfsdfsdfsdf) $7.00 $4.28 0.61x 2026-11-11 16:44 UTC [PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-osiris-factory-new) [andakaevnurkeldi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/andakaevnurkeldi) $7.00 $6.29 0.90x 2026-11-11 16:44 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) [\*HaRleY\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/*HaRleY*-10409488) $7.00 $4.97 0.71x 2026-11-11 16:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $757 (108.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 106.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $106.04 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt