---
title: "The Alpha Collection case on CSGOFAST: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "The Alpha Collection ($10.50) on CSGOFAST, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 155.01% over 2,509 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/140
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:19Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) / [The Alpha Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/140)

# [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) · The Alpha Collection

A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/140?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/140?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/140) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/140?window=all)

Price · $10.50

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 155.01% · 2,509 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 326 openings · below min

7 days · 156.51% ±42.15 2,066 openings

30 days · 155.01% ±36.35 2,509 openings

since tracking started · 155.01% ±36.35 2,509 openings

35.0% 147.0% 259.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/140?window=24h) | 326 | 146.98% ±111.3 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/140?window=7d) | 2,066 | 156.51% ±42.2 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/140) | 2,509 | 155.01% ±36.3 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/140?window=all) | 2,509 | 155.01% ±36.3 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** CSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) [DanielGonzales1986](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/DanielGonzales1986) $10.50 $1,941 184.8x 2026-11-11 15:13 UTC

[AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) [\[TW\]NateLo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%5BTW%5DNateLo) $10.50 $1,902 181.2x 2026-11-09 20:18 UTC

[AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) [Pavlo 2.1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Pavlo%202.1) $10.50 $1,902 181.1x 2026-11-08 19:18 UTC

[AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) [Rexel](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Rexel) $10.50 $1,901 181.1x 2026-11-08 14:03 UTC

[AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) [WalshyboyJW](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/WalshyboyJW) $10.50 $1,022 97.32x 2026-11-07 04:20 UTC

[AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) [763134124842167643](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/763134124842167643) $10.50 $1,022 97.32x 2026-11-06 17:14 UTC

[AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) [Бот Дмитрий](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%91%D0%BE%D1%82%20%D0%94%D0%BC%D0%B8%D1%82%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%B9) $10.50 $1,022 97.32x 2026-11-06 15:45 UTC

[AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) [Sr Toddynho](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Sr%20Toddynho) $10.50 $1,022 97.32x 2026-11-06 10:14 UTC

[AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) [Police officer](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Police%20officer) $10.50 $1,022 97.32x 2026-11-05 23:48 UTC

[AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) [NiKi4](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/NiKi4) $10.50 $1,022 97.32x 2026-11-05 22:50 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgofast&case=140)

[AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) [DanielGonzales1986](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/DanielGonzales1986) $10.50 $1,941 184.8x 2026-11-11 15:13 UTC

[SSG 08 | Mayan Dreams (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mayan-dreams-field-tested) [Турбосвин](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%A2%D1%83%D1%80%D0%B1%D0%BE%D1%81%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%BD) $10.50 $8.75 0.83x 2026-11-11 15:13 UTC

[SSG 08 | Mayan Dreams (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mayan-dreams-field-tested) [Trimple](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Trimple) $10.50 $8.75 0.83x 2026-11-11 14:46 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Mosaico (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-mosaico-field-tested) [MLDOGE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/MLDOGE) $10.50 $6.76 0.64x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Mosaico (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-mosaico-field-tested) [✪UweweO](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%E2%9C%AAUweweO) $10.50 $6.76 0.64x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Mosaico (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-mosaico-field-tested) [TA7 :>](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/TA7%20%3A%3E) $10.50 $6.76 0.64x 2026-11-11 13:56 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Mosaico (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-mosaico-field-tested) [TA7 :>](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/TA7%20%3A%3E) $10.50 $6.76 0.64x 2026-11-11 13:56 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Mosaico (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-mosaico-field-tested) ["\_ХаСКи\_"](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%22_%D0%A5%D0%B0%D0%A1%D0%9A%D0%B8_%22) $10.50 $6.76 0.64x 2026-11-11 13:56 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Mosaico (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-mosaico-field-tested) [TA7 :>](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/TA7%20%3A%3E) $10.50 $6.76 0.64x 2026-11-11 13:56 UTC

[Negev | Palm (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-palm-field-tested) [Your Childhood Obesity](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Your%20Childhood%20Obesity) $10.50 $6.78 0.65x 2026-11-11 13:56 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $1,941 (184.8x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 155.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $155.01 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
