---
title: "The Winter Offensive Collection on CSGOFAST: odds & RTP"
description: "The Winter Offensive Collection ($4.50) on CSGOFAST, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 98.16% over 7,418 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/143
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:59Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) / [The Winter Offensive Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/143)

# [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) · The Winter Offensive Collection

A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/143?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/143?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/143) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/143?window=all)

Price · $4.50

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 98.16% · 7,418 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 926 openings · below min

7 days · 99.43% ±12.98 6,270 openings

30 days · 98.16% ±11.71 7,418 openings

since tracking started · 98.16% ±11.71 7,418 openings

74.5% 114.5% 154.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/143?window=24h) | 926 | 114.72% ±39.4 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/143?window=7d) | 6,270 | 99.43% ±13.0 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/143) | 7,418 | 98.16% ±11.7 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/143?window=all) | 7,418 | 98.16% ±11.7 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** CSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) [жмых](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%B6%D0%BC%D1%8B%D1%85) $4.50 $839 186.5x 2026-11-10 11:08 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) [EagleofTheStorm](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/EagleofTheStorm) $4.50 $827 183.7x 2026-11-08 22:27 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) [☢SuperBlaster☢](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%E2%98%A2SuperBlaster%E2%98%A2) $4.50 $551 122.4x 2026-11-07 01:13 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) [Bob on Nintendo 3Ds](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Bob%20on%20Nintendo%203Ds) $4.50 $551 122.4x 2026-11-04 01:22 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) [Alexander Rodionov](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Alexander%20Rodionov) $4.50 $548 121.7x 2026-11-07 18:05 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) [박명진](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%EB%B0%95%EB%AA%85%EC%A7%84) $4.50 $513 114.1x 2026-11-11 03:12 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) [P250](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/P250) $4.50 $510 113.3x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-battle-scarred) [Турбосвин](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%A2%D1%83%D1%80%D0%B1%D0%BE%D1%81%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%BD) $4.50 $321 71.24x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC

[M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) [APXUMED](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/APXUMED) $4.50 $294 65.38x 2026-11-10 00:03 UTC

[M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) [lautern98](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/lautern98) $4.50 $290 64.48x 2026-11-09 18:30 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgofast&case=143)

[PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-cobalt-halftone-well-worn) [rynab](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/rynab) $4.50 $2.16 0.48x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC

[Galil AR | Sandstorm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sandstorm-battle-scarred) [Windoh](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Windoh) $4.50 $2.80 0.62x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC

[StatTrak™ M249 | Magma (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-magma-minimal-wear) [Dan9♥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Dan9%E2%99%A5) $4.50 $4.10 0.91x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC

[StatTrak™ M249 | Magma (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-magma-minimal-wear) [Турбосвин](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%A2%D1%83%D1%80%D0%B1%D0%BE%D1%81%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%BD) $4.50 $4.10 0.91x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC

[M249 | Magma (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-magma-field-tested) [andakaevnurkeldi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/andakaevnurkeldi) $4.50 $1.92 0.43x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC

[Galil AR | Sandstorm (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sandstorm-well-worn) [Страх и ненависть](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%A1%D1%82%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%85%20%D0%B8%20%D0%BD%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%B0%D0%B2%D0%B8%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C) $4.50 $3.07 0.68x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC

[M249 | Magma (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-magma-minimal-wear) [Diablo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Diablo) $4.50 $1.86 0.41x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC

[M249 | Magma (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-magma-field-tested) [Павел Борисов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%9F%D0%B0%D0%B2%D0%B5%D0%BB%20%D0%91%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%B8%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%B2) $4.50 $1.92 0.43x 2026-11-11 15:49 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Kami (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-field-tested) [♕KM Father Nick](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%E2%99%95KM%20Father%20Nick) $4.50 $4.03 0.90x 2026-11-11 15:49 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Sandstorm (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-sandstorm-battle-scarred) [reacher2005](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/reacher2005) $4.50 $2.82 0.63x 2026-11-11 15:49 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $839 (186.5x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 98.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $98.16 on average: an expected loss of $1.84 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
