---
title: "The Breakout Collection case on CSGOFAST: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "The Breakout Collection ($3.70) on CSGOFAST, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 251.17% over 2,775 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/148
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) / [The Breakout Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/148)

# [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) · The Breakout Collection

A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/148?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/148?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/148) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/148?window=all)

Price · $3.70

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 251.17% · 2,775 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 281 openings · below min

7 days · 263.61% ±53.77 2,260 openings

30 days · 251.17% ±47.14 2,775 openings

since tracking started · 251.17% ±47.14 2,775 openings

202.0% 387.0% 572.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/148?window=24h) | 281 | 386.92% ±184.4 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/148?window=7d) | 2,260 | 263.61% ±53.8 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/148) | 2,775 | 251.17% ±47.1 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/148?window=all) | 2,775 | 251.17% ±47.1 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** CSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-factory-new) [✪ WayneGames | #Whore](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%E2%9C%AA%20WayneGames%20%7C%20%23Whore) $3.70 $505 136.5x 2026-11-06 22:35 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-factory-new) [\[YTL\] AlienOnPc](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%5BYTL%5D%20AlienOnPc) $3.70 $505 136.5x 2026-11-06 08:39 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-factory-new) [timka](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/timka) $3.70 $505 136.5x 2026-11-05 03:30 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-factory-new) [DeadShot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/DeadShot) $3.70 $505 136.5x 2026-11-05 02:14 UTC

[P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) [Eclipze DoD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Eclipze%20DoD) $3.70 $391 105.6x 2026-11-03 21:01 UTC

[P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) [Jesus Bucket](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Jesus%20Bucket) $3.70 $389 105.1x 2026-11-06 16:47 UTC

[P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) [|| Leylaz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%7C%7C%20Leylaz) $3.70 $389 105.1x 2026-11-05 21:31 UTC

[P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) [Даник Тихинский](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%94%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%20%D0%A2%D0%B8%D1%85%D0%B8%D0%BD%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9) $3.70 $389 105.1x 2026-11-05 01:27 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) [MiKaNz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/MiKaNz) $3.70 $385 104.1x 2026-11-03 06:04 UTC

[P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) [Паша Козлов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%9F%D0%B0%D1%88%D0%B0%20%D0%9A%D0%BE%D0%B7%D0%BB%D0%BE%D0%B2) $3.70 $384 103.8x 2026-11-11 07:02 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgofast&case=148)

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-labyrinth-factory-new) [Area\_512005](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Area_512005) $3.70 $1.00 0.27x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-labyrinth-factory-new) [☆Daruś☆](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%E2%98%86Daru%C5%9B%E2%98%86) $3.70 $1.00 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:55 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-labyrinth-factory-new) [Tampir━╤デ╦︻(▀̿̿Ĺ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Tampir%E2%94%81%E2%95%A4%E3%83%87%E2%95%A6%EF%B8%BB%28%E2%96%80%CC%BF%CC%BF%C4%B9) $3.70 $1.00 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:55 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-labyrinth-factory-new) [graver](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/graver) $3.70 $1.00 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-labyrinth-factory-new) [God](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/God) $3.70 $1.00 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-labyrinth-factory-new) [saw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/saw) $3.70 $1.00 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-labyrinth-factory-new) [Турбосвин](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%A2%D1%83%D1%80%D0%B1%D0%BE%D1%81%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%BD) $3.70 $1.00 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-labyrinth-factory-new) [A2/666/](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/A2%2F666%2F) $3.70 $1.00 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-labyrinth-factory-new) [rev](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/rev) $3.70 $1.00 0.27x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-labyrinth-factory-new) [DJ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/DJ) $3.70 $1.00 0.27x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $505 (136.5x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 251.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $251.17 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
