--- title: "The Vanguard Collection case on CSGOFAST: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Vanguard Collection ($3.10) on CSGOFAST, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 99.65% over 6,691 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/151 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) / [The Vanguard Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/151) # [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) · The Vanguard Collection A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/151?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/151?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/151) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/151?window=all) Price · $3.10 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 99.65% · 6,691 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 666 openings · below min 7 days · 99.59% ±13.01 5,505 openings 30 days · 99.65% ±11.27 6,691 openings since tracking started · 99.65% ±11.27 6,691 openings 68.0% 96.8% 125.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/151?window=24h) | 666 | 96.63% ±28.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/151?window=7d) | 5,505 | 99.59% ±13.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/151) | 6,691 | 99.65% ±11.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/151?window=all) | 6,691 | 99.65% ±11.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) [KingChlodwig](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/KingChlodwig) $3.10 $607 195.7x 2026-11-09 23:21 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) [Jonaz889](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Jonaz889) $3.10 $357 115.1x 2026-11-09 01:03 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) [TFG\_Killer](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/TFG_Killer) $3.10 $354 114.3x 2026-11-07 15:50 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) [Shackle Gaming](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Shackle%20Gaming) $3.10 $352 113.6x 2026-11-06 21:45 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) [Death lord](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Death%20lord) $3.10 $342 110.3x 2026-11-07 23:03 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) [Морзан](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%9C%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%B7%D0%B0%D0%BD) $3.10 $162 52.11x 2026-11-10 16:32 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgofast&case=151) [G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-murky-minimal-wear) [d5 CrystalMeth](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/d5%20CrystalMeth) $3.10 $1.83 0.59x 2026-11-11 15:05 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-delusion-field-tested) [Турбосвин](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%A2%D1%83%D1%80%D0%B1%D0%BE%D1%81%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%BD) $3.10 $1.41 0.45x 2026-11-11 15:05 UTC [Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-highwayman-field-tested) [2Pac\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/2Pac_) $3.10 $2.55 0.82x 2026-11-11 15:05 UTC [StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-murky-minimal-wear) [d5 CrystalMeth](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/d5%20CrystalMeth) $3.10 $1.97 0.64x 2026-11-11 15:05 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-delusion-minimal-wear) [Турбосвин](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%A2%D1%83%D1%80%D0%B1%D0%BE%D1%81%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%BD) $3.10 $2.60 0.84x 2026-11-11 15:05 UTC [StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-dart-minimal-wear) [mr\_antonz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/mr_antonz) $3.10 $2.50 0.81x 2026-11-11 15:05 UTC [MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dart-minimal-wear) [MixxMa5ter](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/MixxMa5ter) $3.10 $1.92 0.62x 2026-11-11 15:02 UTC [G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-murky-minimal-wear) [Uwu "FAIL"](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Uwu%20%22FAIL%22) $3.10 $1.83 0.59x 2026-11-11 15:00 UTC [StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-dart-field-tested) [KaurN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/KaurN) $3.10 $1.80 0.58x 2026-11-11 15:00 UTC [MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-field-tested) [Steven Badiable](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Steven%20Badiable) $3.10 $1.39 0.45x 2026-11-11 15:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $607 (195.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 99.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $99.65 on average: an expected loss of $0.35 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt