--- title: "The Falchion Collection case on CSGOFAST: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Falchion Collection ($3.00) on CSGOFAST, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 119.19% over 5,558 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/154 rendered: 2026-11-11T16:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) / [The Falchion Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/154) # [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) · The Falchion Collection A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/154?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/154?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/154) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/154?window=all) Price · $3.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 119.19% · 5,558 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 650 openings · below min 7 days · 119.18% ±13.50 4,666 openings 30 days · 119.19% ±12.54 5,558 openings since tracking started · 119.19% ±12.54 5,558 openings 70.0% 109.0% 148.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/154?window=24h) | 650 | 109.05% ±38.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/154?window=7d) | 4,666 | 119.18% ±13.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/154) | 5,558 | 119.19% ±12.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/154?window=all) | 5,558 | 119.19% ±12.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) [heNz-](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/heNz-) $3.00 $280 93.28x 2026-11-03 15:58 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) [pahafoyep](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/pahafoyep) $3.00 $274 91.39x 2026-11-11 16:35 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) [Baka](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Baka) $3.00 $269 89.74x 2026-11-10 12:46 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) [J-Roc 力](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/J-Roc%20%E5%8A%9B) $3.00 $269 89.74x 2026-11-10 10:39 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) [Даня Данилов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%94%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%8F%20%D0%94%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BB%D0%BE%D0%B2) $3.00 $260 86.71x 2026-11-09 23:01 UTC [AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-factory-new) [Gordotó](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Gordot%C3%B3) $3.00 $256 85.50x 2026-11-07 10:01 UTC [AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-factory-new) [Shadov](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Shadov) $3.00 $251 83.52x 2026-11-04 08:20 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) [sajdz樹](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/sajdz%E6%A8%B9) $3.00 $215 71.61x 2026-11-08 06:52 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) [Макс Гуменюк](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%BA%D1%81%20%D0%93%D1%83%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8E%D0%BA) $3.00 $200 66.68x 2026-11-10 06:03 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) [yigitcankarayol](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/yigitcankarayol) $3.00 $152 50.52x 2026-11-11 09:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgofast&case=154) [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-riot-factory-new) [Dyeho](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Dyeho) $3.00 $2.06 0.69x 2026-11-11 16:50 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-riot-factory-new) [Hanchik Ibakov](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Hanchik%20Ibakov) $3.00 $2.06 0.69x 2026-11-11 16:50 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-elite-build-minimal-wear) [WEŹ SIE ZABIJ SZMATO CSGO500](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/WE%C5%B9%20SIE%20ZABIJ%20SZMATO%20CSGO500) $3.00 $1.21 0.40x 2026-11-11 16:50 UTC [FAMAS | Neural Net (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-battle-scarred) [Vindey](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Vindey) $3.00 $1.33 0.44x 2026-11-11 16:36 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-riot-factory-new) [\*HaRleY\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/*HaRleY*-10409488) $3.00 $2.06 0.69x 2026-11-11 16:36 UTC [USP-S | Torque (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-well-worn) [Gabriel\_Gamer1344](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Gabriel_Gamer1344) $3.00 $1.18 0.39x 2026-11-11 16:36 UTC [Negev | Loudmouth (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-loudmouth-battle-scarred) [Vindey](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Vindey) $3.00 $1.39 0.46x 2026-11-11 16:36 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bunsen-burner-battle-scarred) [\*HaRleY\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/*HaRleY*-10409488) $3.00 $2.45 0.82x 2026-11-11 16:36 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-ranger-minimal-wear) [pahafoyep](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/pahafoyep) $3.00 $1.25 0.42x 2026-11-11 16:36 UTC [FAMAS | Neural Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-minimal-wear) [Gabriel\_Gamer1344](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Gabriel_Gamer1344) $3.00 $3.01 1.00x 2026-11-11 16:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $280 (93.28x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 119.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $119.19 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt