--- title: "The Shadow Collection case on CSGOFAST: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Shadow Collection ($3.80) on CSGOFAST, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 121.83% over 4,085 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/157 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) / [The Shadow Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/157) # [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) · The Shadow Collection A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/157?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/157?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/157) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/157?window=all) Price · $3.80 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 121.83% · 4,085 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 397 openings · below min 7 days · 127.98% ±22.13 3,404 openings 30 days · 121.83% ±18.71 4,085 openings since tracking started · 121.83% ±18.71 4,085 openings 58.5% 104.7% 151.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/157?window=24h) | 397 | 97.71% ±38.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/157?window=7d) | 3,404 | 127.98% ±22.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/157) | 4,085 | 121.83% ±18.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/157?window=all) | 4,085 | 121.83% ±18.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) [Mr Gooch](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Mr%20Gooch) $3.80 $574 151.0x 2026-11-10 09:01 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) [Cont1nu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Cont1nu) $3.80 $572 150.5x 2026-11-07 16:06 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) [AskingJoel](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/AskingJoel) $3.80 $514 135.1x 2026-11-09 02:38 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) [Vladimir Olegovich Karpov](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Vladimir%20Olegovich%20Karpov) $3.80 $357 93.93x 2026-11-09 13:29 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) [new to pc gaming](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/new%20to%20pc%20gaming) $3.80 $356 93.79x 2026-11-04 18:57 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) [limpan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/limpan) $3.80 $333 87.74x 2026-11-08 09:28 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) [VOCÊ E CORNO KKKKKK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/VOC%C3%8A%20E%20CORNO%20KKKKKK) $3.80 $317 83.46x 2026-11-10 07:25 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) [HI THERE - Сука Блять](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/HI%20THERE%20-%20%D0%A1%D1%83%D0%BA%D0%B0%20%D0%91%D0%BB%D1%8F%D1%82%D1%8C) $3.80 $291 76.63x 2026-11-05 22:34 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) [Korvo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Korvo) $3.80 $258 67.92x 2026-11-10 16:22 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) [Ebloooo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Ebloooo) $3.80 $254 66.74x 2026-11-07 09:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgofast&case=157) [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-scumbria-minimal-wear) [pexuh](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/pexuh) $3.80 $1.42 0.37x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wraiths (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wraiths-minimal-wear) [bajo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/bajo) $3.80 $3.71 0.98x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC [MP7 | Special Delivery (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-special-delivery-battle-scarred) [Александр Шебалков](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%90%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BA%D1%81%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%B4%D1%80%20%D0%A8%D0%B5%D0%B1%D0%B0%D0%BB%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B2) $3.80 $1.69 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-survivor-z-minimal-wear) [Padre](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Padre) $3.80 $2.78 0.73x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-dualing-dragons-minimal-wear) [54Fedase](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/54Fedase) $3.80 $2.47 0.65x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-rangeen-minimal-wear) [aLqeren](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/aLqeren) $3.80 $1.33 0.35x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [P250 | Wingshot (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-field-tested) [golob1tor](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/golob1tor) $3.80 $2.26 0.59x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-scumbria-factory-new) [『 LBRS™ 』ShadeBlack](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%E3%80%8E%20LBRS%E2%84%A2%20%E3%80%8FShadeBlack) $3.80 $2.68 0.71x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-cobalt-core-factory-new) [FlivveX](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/FlivveX) $3.80 $3.24 0.85x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC [MP7 | Special Delivery (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-special-delivery-battle-scarred) [Турбосвин](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%A2%D1%83%D1%80%D0%B1%D0%BE%D1%81%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%BD) $3.80 $1.69 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $574 (151.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 121.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $121.83 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt