---
title: "The Control Collection case on CSGOFAST: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "The Control Collection ($36.00) on CSGOFAST, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 138.19% over 3,139 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/180
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:51Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) / [The Control Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/180)

# [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) · The Control Collection

A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/180?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/180?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/180) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/180?window=all)

Price · $36.00

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 138.19% · 3,139 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 284 openings · below min

7 days · 139.95% ±17.03 2,546 openings

30 days · 138.19% ±15.18 3,139 openings

since tracking started · 138.19% ±15.18 3,139 openings

104.5% 166.3% 228.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/180?window=24h) | 284 | 166.24% ±61.1 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/180?window=7d) | 2,546 | 139.95% ±17.0 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/180) | 3,139 | 138.19% ±15.2 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/180?window=all) | 3,139 | 138.19% ±15.2 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** CSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [Ant - Man](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Ant%20-%20Man) $36.00 $1,526 42.38x 2026-11-07 06:34 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [♛MeshoHk♛](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%E2%99%9BMeshoHk%E2%99%9B) $36.00 $1,526 42.38x 2026-11-06 17:27 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [прогноз погоды](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%BF%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%B3%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B7%20%D0%BF%D0%BE%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%B4%D1%8B) $36.00 $1,526 42.38x 2026-11-06 15:11 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [Ghfyu Tyty](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Ghfyu%20Tyty) $36.00 $1,526 42.38x 2026-11-06 03:13 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [8ka\_one](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/8ka_one) $36.00 $1,526 42.38x 2026-11-05 18:53 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [toxag](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/toxag) $36.00 $1,526 42.38x 2026-11-05 06:34 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [r3dlaw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/r3dlaw) $36.00 $1,526 42.38x 2026-11-05 01:52 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [bublegum113](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/bublegum113) $36.00 $1,526 42.38x 2026-11-04 20:03 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [bjarnek1312](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/bjarnek1312) $36.00 $1,526 42.38x 2026-11-04 20:02 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [Catlin Snow](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Catlin%20Snow) $36.00 $1,526 42.38x 2026-11-04 03:37 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgofast&case=180)

[P2000 | Dispatch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-dispatch-battle-scarred) [reacher2005](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/reacher2005) $36.00 $24.35 0.68x 2026-11-11 15:49 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Magna Carta (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-magna-carta-battle-scarred) [mamaki & mamaeu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/mamaki%20%26%20mamaeu) $36.00 $19.79 0.55x 2026-11-11 15:02 UTC

[MP5-SD | Nitro (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-nitro-factory-new) [Іван Шевченко](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%86%D0%B2%D0%B0%D0%BD%20%D0%A8%D0%B5%D0%B2%D1%87%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BA%D0%BE) $36.00 $17.69 0.49x 2026-11-11 15:02 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Magna Carta (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-magna-carta-factory-new) [MyWifeGotShot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/MyWifeGotShot) $36.00 $19.37 0.54x 2026-11-11 15:02 UTC

[MP5-SD | Nitro (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-nitro-factory-new) [neRdbeEre CSGOFAST.COM](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/neRdbeEre%20CSGOFAST.COM) $36.00 $17.69 0.49x 2026-11-11 14:51 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Berries And Cherries (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-factory-new) [✌sykablyat✌](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%E2%9C%8Csykablyat%E2%9C%8C) $36.00 $123 3.41x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC

[M4A4 | Global Offensive (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-global-offensive-factory-new) [Олежка Коробский](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%9E%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%B6%D0%BA%D0%B0%20%D0%9A%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%B1%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9) $36.00 $75.97 2.11x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC

[UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crime-scene-well-worn) [Турбосвин](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%A2%D1%83%D1%80%D0%B1%D0%BE%D1%81%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%BD) $36.00 $130 3.60x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC

[P2000 | Dispatch (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-dispatch-field-tested) [ZaxNov](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/ZaxNov) $36.00 $18.57 0.52x 2026-11-11 14:27 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Magna Carta (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-magna-carta-battle-scarred) [Ackerman](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Ackerman) $36.00 $19.79 0.55x 2026-11-11 14:27 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $1,526 (42.38x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 138.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $138.19 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
