---
title: "The Recoil Collection case on CSGOFAST: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "The Recoil Collection ($2.30) on CSGOFAST, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 200.48% over 2,843 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/188
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:59Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) / [The Recoil Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/188)

# [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) · The Recoil Collection

A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/188?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/188?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/188) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/188?window=all)

Price · $2.30

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 200.48% · 2,843 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 230 openings · below min

7 days · 209.82% ±30.29 2,151 openings

30 days · 200.48% ±25.05 2,843 openings

since tracking started · 200.48% ±25.05 2,843 openings

140.5% 222.8% 305.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/188?window=24h) | 230 | 222.57% ±81.7 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/188?window=7d) | 2,151 | 209.82% ±30.3 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/188) | 2,843 | 200.48% ±25.1 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/188?window=all) | 2,843 | 200.48% ±25.1 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** CSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) [Миша Макаренко](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%9C%D0%B8%D1%88%D0%B0%20%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BA%D0%BE) $2.30 $183 79.46x 2026-11-08 02:53 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) [Ii Обычный](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Ii%20%D0%9E%D0%B1%D1%8B%D1%87%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9) $2.30 $177 76.88x 2026-11-06 23:56 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) [RICKMITO \*\*\*\*\*\*\*\*\*\*\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/RICKMITO%20***********-10614738) $2.30 $177 76.88x 2026-11-06 02:40 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) [Евгений Тихий](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%95%D0%B2%D0%B3%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%B9%20%D0%A2%D0%B8%D1%85%D0%B8%D0%B9) $2.30 $177 76.88x 2026-11-06 01:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) [heNz-](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/heNz-) $2.30 $177 76.88x 2026-11-05 16:58 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) [KNEDY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/KNEDY) $2.30 $175 75.98x 2026-11-10 18:26 UTC

[USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-factory-new) [true](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/true) $2.30 $156 68.03x 2026-11-10 14:07 UTC

[USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-factory-new) [br@ul!nh0; \<3](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/br%40ul!nh0%3B%20%3C3) $2.30 $156 68.03x 2026-11-10 09:54 UTC

[USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-factory-new) [sean cregan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/sean%20cregan) $2.30 $148 64.17x 2026-11-03 15:22 UTC

[USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-factory-new) [osama](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/osama) $2.30 $147 64.12x 2026-11-08 01:34 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgofast&case=188)

[SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-minimal-wear) [miks228bro](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/miks228bro) $2.30 $1.05 0.46x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Glock-18 | Winterized (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-factory-new) [Yoyoma](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Yoyoma) $2.30 $2.15 0.93x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC

[StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-downtown-minimal-wear) [artemfisunov34](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/artemfisunov34) $2.30 $1.75 0.76x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC

[Glock-18 | Winterized (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-factory-new) [Гей для душа](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%93%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%B4%D0%BB%D1%8F%20%D0%B4%D1%83%D1%88%D0%B0) $2.30 $2.15 0.93x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC

[AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) [Alaniyanri](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Alaniyanri) $2.30 $99.37 43.20x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-minimal-wear) [♔Head♔shot☠ẪM☠☠☠](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%E2%99%94Head%E2%99%94shot%E2%98%A0%E1%BA%AAM%E2%98%A0%E2%98%A0%E2%98%A0) $2.30 $1.52 0.66x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC

[SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-minimal-wear) [Eqeza](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Eqeza) $2.30 $1.05 0.46x 2026-11-11 19:28 UTC

[AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) [Typikal](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Typikal) $2.30 $53.55 23.28x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-downtown-minimal-wear) [Typikal](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Typikal) $2.30 $1.75 0.76x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC

[P90 | Vent Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-vent-rush-minimal-wear) [munozvicente00](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/munozvicente00) $2.30 $1.00 0.43x 2026-11-11 19:21 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $183 (79.46x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 200.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $200.48 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
