--- title: "Basiltrold Lucky Case case on CSGOFAST: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Basiltrold Lucky Case ($5.00) on CSGOFAST, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.25% over 6,972 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/212 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) / [Basiltrold Lucky Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/212) # [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) · Basiltrold Lucky Case A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/212?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/212?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/212) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/212?window=all) Price · $5.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.25% · 6,972 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 817 openings · below min 7 days · 92.69% ±10.13 5,875 openings 30 days · 94.25% ±9.38 6,972 openings since tracking started · 94.25% ±9.38 6,972 openings 63.0% 91.0% 119.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/212?window=24h) | 817 | 91.02% ±27.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/212?window=7d) | 5,875 | 92.69% ±10.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/212) | 6,972 | 94.25% ±9.38 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/212?window=all) | 6,972 | 94.25% ±9.38 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-forest-ddpat-field-tested) [FURKAN THE UNBEATEN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/FURKAN%20THE%20UNBEATEN) $5.00 $392 78.47x 2026-11-07 21:01 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-forest-ddpat-field-tested) [Тима Каримов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%A2%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B0%20%D0%9A%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%BE%D0%B2) $5.00 $384 76.74x 2026-11-09 06:33 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-forest-ddpat-field-tested) [Вадим Шишкин](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%92%D0%B0%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%BC%20%D0%A8%D0%B8%D1%88%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%BD) $5.00 $376 75.23x 2026-11-07 07:46 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-forest-ddpat-field-tested) [KABUTO](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/KABUTO) $5.00 $376 75.23x 2026-11-05 19:51 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) [rumowuhawa](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/rumowuhawa) $5.00 $341 68.25x 2026-11-07 19:13 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) [Bot Arponen](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Bot%20Arponen) $5.00 $329 65.74x 2026-11-10 18:16 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) [d-kuchinskiy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/d-kuchinskiy) $5.00 $325 64.96x 2026-11-03 13:25 UTC [★ Bayonet | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-minimal-wear) [Yorkkay](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Yorkkay) $5.00 $319 63.84x 2026-11-10 18:30 UTC [★ Bayonet | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-minimal-wear) [k3wL](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/k3wL) $5.00 $319 63.84x 2026-11-10 04:45 UTC [★ Bayonet | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-minimal-wear) [erikk alllirg](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/erikk%20alllirg) $5.00 $309 61.70x 2026-11-07 16:46 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgofast&case=212) [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-slashed-field-tested) [crucian](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/crucian) $5.00 $2.84 0.57x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) [God](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/God) $5.00 $4.04 0.81x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-umbral-rabbit-well-worn) [ClovisOlavo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/ClovisOlavo) $5.00 $1.13 0.23x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) [ХУЁК](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%A5%D0%A3%D0%81%D0%9A) $5.00 $2.21 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) [xUnique\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/xUnique_) $5.00 $1.05 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-umbral-rabbit-minimal-wear) [Suk Mike Hok](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Suk%20Mike%20Hok) $5.00 $2.52 0.50x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [AWP | PAW (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-battle-scarred) [『 LBRS™ 』ShadeBlack](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%E3%80%8E%20LBRS%E2%84%A2%20%E3%80%8FShadeBlack) $5.00 $4.41 0.88x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC [Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) [Marek Kopicki](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Marek%20Kopicki) $5.00 $2.21 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC [AWP | PAW (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-battle-scarred) [Polat](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Polat) $5.00 $4.41 0.88x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-slashed-battle-scarred) [spike500myt](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/spike500myt) $5.00 $2.36 0.47x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $392 (78.47x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.25 on average: an expected loss of $5.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt