--- title: "Ashen One case on CSGOFAST: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Ashen One ($1.60) on CSGOFAST, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 1048.76% over 2,364 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/29 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) / [Ashen One](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/29) # [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) · Ashen One A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/29?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/29?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/29) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/29?window=all) Price · $1.60 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 1048.76% · 2,364 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 263 openings · below min 7 days · 1054.37% ±171.10 1,983 openings 30 days · 1048.76% ±156.31 2,364 openings since tracking started · 1048.76% ±156.31 2,364 openings 882.5% 1444.5% 2006.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/29?window=24h) | 263 | 1454.82% ±551.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/29?window=7d) | 1,983 | 1054.37% ±171.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/29) | 2,364 | 1048.76% ±156.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/29?window=all) | 2,364 | 1048.76% ±156.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) [bogdan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/bogdan) $1.60 $310 193.7x 2026-11-07 14:31 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) [Ebloooo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Ebloooo) $1.60 $310 193.7x 2026-11-07 09:59 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) [\_\_FoXy\_\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/__FoXy__) $1.60 $306 191.3x 2026-11-07 09:25 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) [Altitude](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Altitude) $1.60 $306 191.3x 2026-11-05 20:18 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) [cccqewfqwfqwf](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/cccqewfqwfqwf) $1.60 $306 191.3x 2026-11-05 09:28 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) [Ушки Прекрасные](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%A3%D1%88%D0%BA%D0%B8%20%D0%9F%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%81%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B5) $1.60 $305 190.7x 2026-11-11 11:38 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) [Ges](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Ges) $1.60 $304 189.8x 2026-11-09 16:25 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) [-\_- pavlik -\_-](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/-_-%20pavlik%20-_-) $1.60 $303 189.4x 2026-11-10 19:49 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) [C4H3K](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/C4H3K) $1.60 $302 189.0x 2026-11-11 04:24 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) [Neith](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Neith) $1.60 $301 188.2x 2026-11-10 02:42 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgofast&case=29) [SCAR-20 | Grotto (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-minimal-wear) [ირაკლი კვესელავა](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%E1%83%98%E1%83%A0%E1%83%90%E1%83%99%E1%83%9A%E1%83%98%20%E1%83%99%E1%83%95%E1%83%94%E1%83%A1%E1%83%94%E1%83%9A%E1%83%90%E1%83%95%E1%83%90) $1.60 $1.10 0.69x 2026-11-11 14:54 UTC [SCAR-20 | Grotto (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-minimal-wear) [Trimple](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Trimple) $1.60 $1.10 0.69x 2026-11-11 14:46 UTC [SCAR-20 | Grotto (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-minimal-wear) [SK1PE steelseries @](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/SK1PE%20steelseries%20%40) $1.60 $1.10 0.69x 2026-11-11 14:34 UTC [SCAR-20 | Grotto (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-minimal-wear) [okeanix1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/okeanix1) $1.60 $1.10 0.69x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC [SCAR-20 | Grotto (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-minimal-wear) [Zyw0o](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Zyw0o) $1.60 $1.10 0.69x 2026-11-11 14:07 UTC [SCAR-20 | Grotto (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-minimal-wear) [shara chert ebanyi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/shara%20chert%20ebanyi) $1.60 $1.10 0.69x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC [SCAR-20 | Grotto (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-minimal-wear) [pexuh](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/pexuh) $1.60 $1.10 0.69x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC [SCAR-20 | Grotto (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-minimal-wear) [Dayv](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Dayv) $1.60 $1.10 0.69x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [SCAR-20 | Grotto (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-minimal-wear) [Хайзенберг](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%A5%D0%B0%D0%B9%D0%B7%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%B1%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%B3) $1.60 $1.10 0.69x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [SCAR-20 | Grotto (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-minimal-wear) [2xLing](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/2xLing) $1.60 $1.10 0.69x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $310 (193.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 1048.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $1,048.76 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt