--- title: "Thermal Shock case on CSGOFAST: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Thermal Shock ($17.50) on CSGOFAST, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 95.35% over 6,828 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/41 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) / [Thermal Shock](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/41) # [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) · Thermal Shock A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/41?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/41?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/41) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/41?window=all) Price · $17.50 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 95.35% · 6,828 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 747 openings · below min 7 days · 93.75% ±5.50 5,403 openings 30 days · 95.35% ±4.95 6,828 openings since tracking started · 95.35% ±4.95 6,828 openings 79.5% 94.8% 110.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/41?window=24h) | 747 | 94.77% ±14.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/41?window=7d) | 5,403 | 93.75% ±5.50 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/41) | 6,828 | 95.35% ±4.95 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/41?window=all) | 6,828 | 95.35% ±4.95 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgofast&case=41) [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-exposure-minimal-wear) [oczzl413](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/oczzl413) $17.50 $3.16 0.18x 2026-11-11 19:03 UTC [★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-case-hardened-battle-scarred) [Thomas](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Thomas) $17.50 $104 5.93x 2026-11-11 19:03 UTC [MAG-7 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-factory-new) [Kwen](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Kwen) $17.50 $17.03 0.97x 2026-11-11 19:03 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-exposure-field-tested) [kotyniv “predvvx”](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/kotyniv%20%E2%80%9Cpredvvx%E2%80%9D) $17.50 $3.60 0.21x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC [UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-factory-new) [Yuar\_nick](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Yuar_nick) $17.50 $4.01 0.23x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-exposure-field-tested) [new to pc gaming](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/new%20to%20pc%20gaming) $17.50 $3.60 0.21x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC [UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-minimal-wear) [NuclearTomato13](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/NuclearTomato13) $17.50 $1.77 0.10x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC [UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-momentum-minimal-wear) [\_ogurchik\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/_ogurchik_) $17.50 $7.96 0.45x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-exposure-field-tested) [Vadim Ivaniuj](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Vadim%20Ivaniuj) $17.50 $3.60 0.21x 2026-11-11 18:55 UTC [AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-well-worn) [E T carlinhox](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/E%20T%20carlinhox) $17.50 $55.08 3.15x 2026-11-11 18:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 95.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $95.35 on average: an expected loss of $4.65 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt