---
title: "Disguise case on CSGOFAST: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Disguise ($4.20) on CSGOFAST, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 114.47% over 7,030 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/44
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:22Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) / [Disguise](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/44)

# [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) · Disguise

A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/44?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/44?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/44) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/44?window=all)

Price · $4.20

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 114.47% · 7,030 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 941 openings · below min

7 days · 114.32% ±9.78 5,935 openings

30 days · 114.47% ±8.98 7,030 openings

since tracking started · 114.47% ±8.98 7,030 openings

84.5% 110.8% 137.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/44?window=24h) | 941 | 110.58% ±25.6 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/44?window=7d) | 5,935 | 114.32% ±9.78 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/44) | 7,030 | 114.47% ±8.98 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/44?window=all) | 7,030 | 114.47% ±8.98 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** CSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgofast&case=44)

[Galil AR | Kami (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-well-worn) [SUPER CHOQUE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/SUPER%20CHOQUE) $4.20 $2.59 0.62x 2026-11-11 19:10 UTC

[AUG | Creep (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-creep-factory-new) [Гей для душа](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%93%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%B4%D0%BB%D1%8F%20%D0%B4%D1%83%D1%88%D0%B0) $4.20 $1.24 0.30x 2026-11-11 19:10 UTC

[AUG | Creep (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-creep-factory-new) [#Dead#](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%23Dead%23) $4.20 $1.24 0.30x 2026-11-11 19:10 UTC

[M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-field-tested) [boi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/boi) $4.20 $14.59 3.47x 2026-11-11 19:10 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-serpent-strike-well-worn) [you suck](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/you%20suck) $4.20 $1.29 0.31x 2026-11-11 19:08 UTC

[Negev | Dazzle (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-minimal-wear) [Baroş06](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Baro%C5%9F06) $4.20 $2.21 0.53x 2026-11-11 19:08 UTC

[StatTrak™ Nova | Gila (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-gila-field-tested) [Рома Клячин](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%A0%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B0%20%D0%9A%D0%BB%D1%8F%D1%87%D0%B8%D0%BD) $4.20 $2.69 0.64x 2026-11-11 19:08 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-serpent-strike-well-worn) [Rabula](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Rabula) $4.20 $1.29 0.31x 2026-11-11 18:54 UTC

[Galil AR | NV (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-nv-factory-new) [TheMrpond](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/TheMrpond) $4.20 $1.08 0.26x 2026-11-11 18:54 UTC

[MP7 | Powercore (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-powercore-field-tested) [кот наркот](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%BA%D0%BE%D1%82%20%D0%BD%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%BA%D0%BE%D1%82) $4.20 $1.47 0.35x 2026-11-11 18:54 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 114.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $114.47 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
