---
title: "Swarm case on CSGOFAST: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Swarm ($50.00) on CSGOFAST, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.92% over 1,992 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/46
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:38Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) / [Swarm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/46)

# [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) · Swarm

A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/46?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/46?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/46) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/46?window=all)

Price · $50.00

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.92% · 1,992 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 109 openings · below min

7 days · 88.74% ±6.61 1,689 openings

30 days · 87.92% ±6.41 1,992 openings

since tracking started · 87.92% ±6.41 1,992 openings

71.5% 93.8% 116.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/46?window=24h) | 109 | 93.79% ±21.6 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/46?window=7d) | 1,689 | 88.74% ±6.61 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/46) | 1,992 | 87.92% ±6.41 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/46?window=all) | 1,992 | 87.92% ±6.41 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** CSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) [Amine Ym](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Amine%20Ym) $50.00 $1,070 21.41x 2026-11-05 17:39 UTC

[AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) [An Tran](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/An%20Tran) $50.00 $1,070 21.41x 2026-11-04 13:22 UTC

[AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) [LiX0 ♥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/LiX0%20%E2%99%A5) $50.00 $1,070 21.41x 2026-11-04 09:30 UTC

[AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) [MoffJerJerroD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/MoffJerJerroD) $50.00 $662 13.24x 2026-11-07 19:43 UTC

[M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) [on coke](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/on%20coke) $50.00 $652 13.03x 2026-11-07 05:17 UTC

[M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) [Lob@oS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Lob%40oS) $50.00 $652 13.03x 2026-11-05 05:17 UTC

[M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) [ActivePlague](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/ActivePlague) $50.00 $652 13.03x 2026-11-04 23:41 UTC

[M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) [mattiabacchelli](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/mattiabacchelli) $50.00 $651 13.02x 2026-11-08 13:02 UTC

[M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) [✪ mbappe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%E2%9C%AA%20mbappe) $50.00 $651 13.02x 2026-11-08 07:24 UTC

[M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) [spike500myt](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/spike500myt) $50.00 $630 12.61x 2026-11-10 13:28 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgofast&case=46)

[P250 | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-crimson-kimono-factory-new) [stas9n](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/stas9n) $50.00 $38.28 0.77x 2026-11-11 15:27 UTC

[AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) [rynab](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/rynab) $50.00 $26.25 0.53x 2026-11-11 15:27 UTC

[StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-death-by-puppy-factory-new) [BOT Rifamu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/BOT%20Rifamu) $50.00 $25.56 0.51x 2026-11-11 15:27 UTC

[StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-death-by-puppy-factory-new) [я вёселый тракан](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D1%8F%20%D0%B2%D1%91%D1%81%D0%B5%D0%BB%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%D1%82%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%BD) $50.00 $25.56 0.51x 2026-11-11 15:27 UTC

[AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) [PECHENkas](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/PECHENkas) $50.00 $26.25 0.53x 2026-11-11 15:27 UTC

[P250 | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-crimson-kimono-factory-new) [KrokstadLeo Fortnite](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/KrokstadLeo%20Fortnite) $50.00 $38.28 0.77x 2026-11-11 15:27 UTC

[MP9 | Setting Sun (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-battle-scarred) [ViToL\_EU](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/ViToL_EU) $50.00 $14.97 0.30x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[MP9 | Setting Sun (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-battle-scarred) [Evgenii Ranov](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Evgenii%20Ranov) $50.00 $14.97 0.30x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-orange-ddpat-field-tested) [rofi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/rofi) $50.00 $28.21 0.56x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-death-by-puppy-factory-new) [ЖИБЕРГ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%96%D0%98%D0%91%D0%95%D0%A0%D0%93) $50.00 $25.56 0.51x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $1,070 (21.41x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.92 on average: an expected loss of $12.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
