--- title: "Desert Hydra case on CSGOFAST: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Desert Hydra ($80.00) on CSGOFAST, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 107.23% over 186 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/678 rendered: 2026-11-11T22:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) / [Desert Hydra](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/678) # [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) · Desert Hydra A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/678?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/678?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/678) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/678?window=all) Price · $80.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 107.23% · 186 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 85 openings · below min 30 days · 186 openings · below min since tracking started · 186 openings · below min 5.5% 97.5% 189.5% **Small sample.** 186 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/678?window=24h) | 10 | 47.37% ±41.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/678?window=7d) | 85 | 111.73% ±77.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/678) | 186 | 107.23% ±51.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/678?window=all) | 186 | 107.23% ±51.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-battle-scarred) [wasiak.99 \*\*\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/wasiak.99%20***-9036944) $80.00 $1,808 22.60x 2026-11-07 23:09 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) [°Bin Laden ₢ Talibã ₢](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%C2%B0Bin%20Laden%20%E2%82%A2%20Talib%C3%A3%20%E2%82%A2) $80.00 $1,695 21.19x 2026-11-10 13:50 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) [ッUirBISッ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%E3%83%83UirBIS%E3%83%83) $80.00 $1,692 21.15x 2026-11-03 05:04 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) [AnimeCatGirl](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/AnimeCatGirl) $80.00 $1,664 20.80x 2026-11-04 11:51 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) [AnimeCatGirl](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/AnimeCatGirl) $80.00 $1,664 20.80x 2026-11-04 11:08 UTC [M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-modern-hunter-factory-new) [AbsyrtosNC](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/AbsyrtosNC) $80.00 $1,011 12.63x 2026-11-10 05:56 UTC [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) [erikk alllirg](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/erikk%20alllirg) $80.00 $579 7.24x 2026-11-09 09:14 UTC [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) [dicocavalo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/dicocavalo) $80.00 $560 7.00x 2026-11-04 18:38 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgofast&case=678) [Glock-18 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [?THE BAD GUY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%3FTHE%20BAD%20GUY) $80.00 $13.35 0.17x 2026-11-11 18:02 UTC [Glock-18 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sand-dune-field-tested) [?THE BAD GUY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%3FTHE%20BAD%20GUY) $80.00 $12.73 0.16x 2026-11-11 18:02 UTC [M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) [Турбосвин](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%A2%D1%83%D1%80%D0%B1%D0%BE%D1%81%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%BD) $80.00 $41.84 0.52x 2026-11-11 15:45 UTC [Glock-18 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sand-dune-well-worn) [erikk alllirg](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/erikk%20alllirg) $80.00 $25.66 0.32x 2026-11-11 15:45 UTC [M4A1-S | Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) [Кроль](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%9A%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BB%D1%8C) $80.00 $8.28 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:45 UTC [AWP | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-battle-scarred) [ДОВОЛЬНЫЙ ЙОЖИК](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%94%D0%9E%D0%92%D0%9E%D0%9B%D0%AC%D0%9D%D0%AB%D0%99%20%D0%99%D0%9E%D0%96%D0%98%D0%9A) $80.00 $14.84 0.19x 2026-11-11 15:35 UTC [M4A4 | Hellish (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-battle-scarred) [fertynaryet](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/fertynaryet) $80.00 $22.48 0.28x 2026-11-11 15:35 UTC [AWP | Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-factory-new) [erikk alllirg](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/erikk%20alllirg) $80.00 $187 2.33x 2026-11-11 15:35 UTC [AK-47 | Aphrodite (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-field-tested) [CreepY ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/CreepY%20%E3%83%84) $80.00 $24.53 0.31x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC [Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-well-worn) [erikk alllirg](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/erikk%20alllirg) $80.00 $28.64 0.36x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,808 (22.60x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 107.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $107.23 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt