--- title: "Dragonborn case on CSGOFAST: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Dragonborn ($4.10) on CSGOFAST, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 173.95% over 4,463 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/78 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) / [Dragonborn](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/78) # [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) · Dragonborn A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/78?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/78?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/78) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/78?window=all) Price · $4.10 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 173.95% · 4,463 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 560 openings · below min 7 days · 177.77% ±26.04 3,631 openings 30 days · 173.95% ±22.89 4,463 openings since tracking started · 173.95% ±22.89 4,463 openings 78.5% 141.5% 204.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/78?window=24h) | 560 | 125.15% ±45.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/78?window=7d) | 3,631 | 177.77% ±26.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/78) | 4,463 | 173.95% ±22.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/78?window=all) | 4,463 | 173.95% ±22.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) [Bennoodle](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Bennoodle) $4.10 $378 92.29x 2026-11-11 08:29 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) [mForce](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/mForce) $4.10 $365 89.12x 2026-11-07 13:31 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) [GRNyA (火影69)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/GRNyA%20%28%E7%81%AB%E5%BD%B169%29) $4.10 $365 88.92x 2026-11-07 06:12 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) [Veithar](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Veithar) $4.10 $365 88.92x 2026-11-07 00:49 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) [B!6 D4DY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/B!6%20D4DY) $4.10 $365 88.92x 2026-11-07 00:13 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) [s3nnnnk1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/s3nnnnk1) $4.10 $365 88.92x 2026-11-06 07:51 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) [Rfl w](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Rfl%20w) $4.10 $365 88.92x 2026-11-06 06:57 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) [Batu Han](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Batu%20Han) $4.10 $365 88.92x 2026-11-05 00:05 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) [7all Lioachorr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/7all%20Lioachorr) $4.10 $365 88.92x 2026-11-05 00:05 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) [Турбосвин](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%A2%D1%83%D1%80%D0%B1%D0%BE%D1%81%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%BD) $4.10 $365 88.92x 2026-11-04 05:39 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgofast&case=78) [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-black-sand-minimal-wear) [Drink Vodka Play Dotka](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Drink%20Vodka%20Play%20Dotka) $4.10 $1.41 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC [StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-condition-zero-minimal-wear) [Wicked jester](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Wicked%20jester) $4.10 $2.31 0.56x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC [MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-condition-zero-minimal-wear) [Ricardo Milos](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Ricardo%20Milos) $4.10 $2.44 0.60x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC [StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-condition-zero-minimal-wear) [golob1tor](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/golob1tor) $4.10 $2.31 0.56x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC [MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-condition-zero-field-tested) [Drink Vodka Play Dotka](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Drink%20Vodka%20Play%20Dotka) $4.10 $1.39 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC [StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-condition-zero-field-tested) [Ricardo Milos](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Ricardo%20Milos) $4.10 $1.62 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC [MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-condition-zero-minimal-wear) [Wicked jester](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Wicked%20jester) $4.10 $2.44 0.60x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC [MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-condition-zero-field-tested) [Ricardo Milos](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Ricardo%20Milos) $4.10 $1.39 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC [StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-condition-zero-minimal-wear) [Drink Vodka Play Dotka](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Drink%20Vodka%20Play%20Dotka) $4.10 $2.31 0.56x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC [StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-condition-zero-field-tested) [golob1tor](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/golob1tor) $4.10 $1.62 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $378 (92.29x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 174.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $173.95 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt