--- title: "Fire Sage case on CSGOFAST: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Fire Sage ($5.80) on CSGOFAST, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 120.27% over 5,913 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/83 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) / [Fire Sage](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/83) # [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) · Fire Sage A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/83?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/83?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/83) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/83?window=all) Price · $5.80 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 120.27% · 5,913 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 645 openings · below min 7 days · 124.41% ±12.15 5,081 openings 30 days · 120.27% ±10.84 5,913 openings since tracking started · 120.27% ±10.84 5,913 openings 109.0% 152.3% 195.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/83?window=24h) | 645 | 157.52% ±37.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/83?window=7d) | 5,081 | 124.41% ±12.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/83) | 5,913 | 120.27% ±10.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/83?window=all) | 5,913 | 120.27% ±10.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) [Matija](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Matija) $5.80 $607 104.6x 2026-11-09 23:06 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) [\[C\]aniba\[L\] |](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%5BC%5Daniba%5BL%5D%20%7C) $5.80 $432 74.43x 2026-11-07 18:41 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) [Dilzy2](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Dilzy2) $5.80 $384 66.22x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) [Алхимик](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%90%D0%BB%D1%85%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B8%D0%BA) $5.80 $384 66.22x 2026-11-08 07:29 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) [Серый батон](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%A1%D0%B5%D1%80%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%D0%B1%D0%B0%D1%82%D0%BE%D0%BD) $5.80 $352 60.72x 2026-11-07 07:48 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) [NяКаvай](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/N%D1%8F%D0%9A%D0%B0v%D0%B0%D0%B9) $5.80 $352 60.72x 2026-11-07 02:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgofast&case=83) [SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-desert-blossom-factory-new) [terbio4](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/terbio4) $5.80 $5.38 0.93x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Powercore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-powercore-minimal-wear) [mackimedward](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/mackimedward) $5.80 $3.63 0.63x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC [StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-dream-glade-minimal-wear) [rev](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/rev) $5.80 $1.29 0.22x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC [StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-dream-glade-minimal-wear) [DJ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/DJ) $5.80 $1.29 0.22x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-minimal-wear) [terbio4](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/terbio4) $5.80 $3.18 0.55x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-field-tested) [rev](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/rev) $5.80 $2.40 0.41x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC [AWP | PAW (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-field-tested) [DJ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/DJ) $5.80 $3.27 0.56x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC [Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-factory-new) [Cuddlies](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Cuddlies) $5.80 $1.96 0.34x 2026-11-11 12:49 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-minimal-wear) [bort](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/bort) $5.80 $3.18 0.55x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-minimal-wear) [Perfect](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Perfect) $5.80 $3.18 0.55x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $607 (104.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 120.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $120.27 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt