--- title: "Knife Talk case on CSGOFAST: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Knife Talk ($0.49) on CSGOFAST, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 16108.54% over 27 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/848 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) / [Knife Talk](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/848) # [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) · Knife Talk A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/848?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/848?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/848) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/848?window=all) Price · $0.49 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 16108.54% · 27 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 1 openings · below min 7 days · 15 openings · below min 30 days · 27 openings · below min since tracking started · 27 openings · below min 13429.5% 15731.0% 18032.5% **Small sample.** 27 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/848?window=24h) | 1 | 15136.73% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/848?window=7d) | 15 | 15501.63% ±2071.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/848) | 27 | 16108.54% ±1923.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/848?window=all) | 27 | 16108.54% ±1923.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-field-tested) [Valentina Martins](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Valentina%20Martins) $0.49 $151 309.0x 2026-11-04 03:04 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-field-tested) [ПуЛи\_От\_БаБуЛи](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%9F%D1%83%D0%9B%D0%B8_%D0%9E%D1%82_%D0%91%D0%B0%D0%91%D1%83%D0%9B%D0%B8) $0.49 $146 297.7x 2026-11-10 11:55 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-field-tested) [Theicedevil](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Theicedevil) $0.49 $143 291.2x 2026-11-04 13:35 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) [Пупсень:D](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%9F%D1%83%D0%BF%D1%81%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8C%3AD) $0.49 $78.98 161.2x 2026-11-03 23:16 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) [🍀 André.G 🍀csgofast.com🍀](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%F0%9F%8D%80%20Andr%C3%A9.G%20%F0%9F%8D%80csgofast.com%F0%9F%8D%80) $0.49 $78.95 161.1x 2026-11-09 02:52 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) [Chris Farley's left nostril](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Chris%20Farley's%20left%20nostril) $0.49 $78.57 160.3x 2026-11-04 00:08 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) [ЛЮСЯ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%9B%D0%AE%D0%A1%D0%AF) $0.49 $77.42 158.0x 2026-11-05 14:41 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) [nestr0y\_zero](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/nestr0y_zero) $0.49 $77.42 158.0x 2026-11-04 20:36 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) [Sokolucky csgofastx.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Sokolucky%20csgofastx.com) $0.49 $77.07 157.3x 2026-11-09 20:39 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) [DannyS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/DannyS) $0.49 $74.17 151.4x 2026-11-11 19:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgofast&case=848) [★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) [DannyS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/DannyS) $0.49 $74.17 151.4x 2026-11-11 19:25 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-field-tested) [ПуЛи\_От\_БаБуЛи](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%D0%9F%D1%83%D0%9B%D0%B8_%D0%9E%D1%82_%D0%91%D0%B0%D0%91%D1%83%D0%9B%D0%B8) $0.49 $146 297.7x 2026-11-10 11:55 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) [Sokolucky csgofastx.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Sokolucky%20csgofastx.com) $0.49 $77.07 157.3x 2026-11-09 20:39 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) [🍀 André.G 🍀csgofast.com🍀](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%F0%9F%8D%80%20Andr%C3%A9.G%20%F0%9F%8D%80csgofast.com%F0%9F%8D%80) $0.49 $78.95 161.1x 2026-11-09 02:52 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-night-stripe-battle-scarred) [Molinder @bandit](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Molinder%20%40bandit) $0.49 $67.45 137.7x 2026-11-08 14:02 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Sokolucky csgofastx.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Sokolucky%20csgofastx.com) $0.49 $74.17 151.4x 2026-11-07 19:37 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-urban-masked-battle-scarred) [Ass Eating Slasher](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Ass%20Eating%20Slasher) $0.49 $65.27 133.2x 2026-11-07 05:41 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-urban-masked-battle-scarred) [Black Thunder](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Black%20Thunder) $0.49 $65.27 133.2x 2026-11-06 08:56 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) [§ΰßŘǾ§∀ \*\*\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%C2%A7%CE%B0%C3%9F%C5%98%C7%BE%C2%A7%E2%88%80%20***-3379925) $0.49 $67.80 138.4x 2026-11-05 21:46 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) [Krey -](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Krey%20-) $0.49 $65.88 134.4x 2026-11-05 21:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $151 (309.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 16108.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $16,108.54 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt