--- title: "10% Mix up case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Mix up ($5.79) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.87% from 10 items with odds, observed 90.29% over 28.2K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/10percent-mix-up rendered: 2026-11-11T22:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [10% Mix up](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/10percent-mix-up) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · 10% Mix up A case on CSGORoll (10%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/10percent-mix-up?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/10percent-mix-up?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/10percent-mix-up) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/10percent-mix-up?window=all) Price · $5.79 · 8.27 coins Advertised RTP · 90.87% · EV $5.26 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.29% · 28.2K openings, odds method Variance · 12.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 90.54% ±11.80 3,414 openings 7 days · 89.40% ±4.68 21.8K openings 30 days · 90.29% ±4.11 28.2K openings since tracking started · 90.29% ±4.11 28.2K openings 78.0% 90.5% 103.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/10percent-mix-up?window=24h) | 3,414 | 90.54% ±11.8 | −0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/10percent-mix-up?window=7d) | 21.8K | 89.40% ±4.68 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/10percent-mix-up) | 28.2K | 90.29% ±4.11 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/10percent-mix-up?window=all) | 28.2K | 90.29% ±4.11 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28.3K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $398 569 coins | 0.8% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× | | [★ Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $390 557 coins | 7.4% | 27 | 28.3 | 0.96× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $125 178 coins | 5.9% | 83 | 70.6 | 1.17× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $91.70 131 coins | 8.7% | 139 | 141.3 | 0.98× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Overprint (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $81.20 116 coins | 2.3% | 42 | 42.4 | 0.99× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $68.73 98.18 coins | 19.5% | 404 | 421.0 | 0.96× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $40.89 58.41 coins | 11.7% | 452 | 423.9 | 1.07× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $40.08 57.26 coins | 22.9% | 824 | 847.7 | 0.97× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $36.43 52.05 coins | 20.8% | 840 | 847.7 | 0.99× | | [Dual Berettas \| Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-contractor-field-tested) | 90.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.1% | 25,445 | 25432.2 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 20:32 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-factory-new) Hidden $6.07 8.67 coins $408 583 coins 67.24x 2026-11-04 18:42 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-factory-new) Hidden $6.07 8.67 coins $408 583 coins 67.24x 2026-11-02 22:28 UTC [★ Bayonet | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $6.07 8.67 coins $407 582 coins 67.13x 2026-11-07 23:28 UTC [★ Bayonet | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) [Blow](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Blow) $6.07 8.67 coins $407 582 coins 67.13x 2026-11-07 21:03 UTC [★ Bayonet | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $6.07 8.67 coins $407 582 coins 67.13x 2026-11-07 01:10 UTC [★ Bayonet | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $6.07 8.67 coins $407 582 coins 67.13x 2026-11-07 01:08 UTC [★ Bayonet | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $6.07 8.67 coins $407 582 coins 67.13x 2026-11-06 23:41 UTC [★ Bayonet | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $6.07 8.67 coins $407 582 coins 67.13x 2026-11-06 18:20 UTC [★ Bayonet | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $6.07 8.67 coins $407 582 coins 67.13x 2026-11-06 16:07 UTC [★ Bayonet | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $6.07 8.67 coins $407 582 coins 67.13x 2026-11-06 08:38 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=10percent-mix-up) [Dual Berettas | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-contractor-field-tested) Hidden $5.79 8.27 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:04 UTC [Dual Berettas | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-contractor-field-tested) [dv7](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/dv7) $5.79 8.27 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:04 UTC [Dual Berettas | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-contractor-field-tested) Hidden $5.79 8.27 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:04 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.79 8.27 coins $36.43 52.05 coins 6.29x 2026-11-11 22:04 UTC [Dual Berettas | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-contractor-field-tested) Hidden $5.79 8.27 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:03 UTC [Dual Berettas | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-contractor-field-tested) Hidden $5.79 8.27 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:03 UTC [Dual Berettas | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-contractor-field-tested) Hidden $5.79 8.27 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:03 UTC [Dual Berettas | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-contractor-field-tested) [dv7](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/dv7) $5.79 8.27 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:03 UTC [Dual Berettas | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-contractor-field-tested) Hidden $5.79 8.27 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:00 UTC [Dual Berettas | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-contractor-field-tested) Hidden $5.79 8.27 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $5.79 | 90.87% | 10 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $6.01 | 90.89% | 10 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $6.07 | 90.87% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.2% covert 9.8% consumer 90.0% best hit $408 (67.24x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.87 on average: an expected loss of $9.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt