---
title: "3% win case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "3% win ($4.53) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 83.65% over 895 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1120321-3percent-win
rendered: 2026-11-13T03:23Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [3% win](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1120321-3percent-win)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · 3% win

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1120321-3percent-win?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1120321-3percent-win?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1120321-3percent-win) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1120321-3percent-win?window=all)

Price · $4.53 · 6.47 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 83.65% · 895 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 124 openings · below min

7 days · 640 openings · below min

30 days · 895 openings · below min

since tracking started · 895 openings · below min

15.0% 131.3% 247.5%

**Small sample.** 895 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1120321-3percent-win?window=24h) | 124 | 131.36% ±115.5 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1120321-3percent-win?window=7d) | 640 | 102.42% ±43.6 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1120321-3percent-win) | 895 | 83.65% ±32.9 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1120321-3percent-win?window=all) | 895 | 83.65% ±32.9 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=1120321-3percent-win)

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $4.55 6.49 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 02:30 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.55 6.49 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 02:30 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $4.55 6.49 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 02:30 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) [TYÄ UKKO](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/TY%C3%84%20UKKO) $4.55 6.49 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 02:30 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [seven](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/seven) $4.55 6.49 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 01:57 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.55 6.49 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 01:57 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $4.55 6.49 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 01:57 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.55 6.49 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:03 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $4.55 6.49 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:03 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Shifu❤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Shifu%E2%9D%A4) $4.55 6.49 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:03 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.65 on average: an expected loss of $16.35 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
