--- title: "20% Lowballer case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "20% Lowballer ($7.21) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 83.25% over 72 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1576959-20percent-lowballer rendered: 2026-11-12T09:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [20% Lowballer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1576959-20percent-lowballer) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · 20% Lowballer A case on CSGORoll, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1576959-20percent-lowballer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1576959-20percent-lowballer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1576959-20percent-lowballer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1576959-20percent-lowballer?window=all) Price · $7.21 · 10.3 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 83.25% · 72 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 43 openings · below min 7 days · 66 openings · below min 30 days · 72 openings · below min since tracking started · 72 openings · below min 3.5% 111.0% 218.5% **Small sample.** 72 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1576959-20percent-lowballer?window=24h) | 43 | 111.04% ±107.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1576959-20percent-lowballer?window=7d) | 66 | 90.86% ±73.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1576959-20percent-lowballer) | 72 | 83.25% ±67.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1576959-20percent-lowballer?window=all) | 72 | 83.25% ±67.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=1576959-20percent-lowballer) [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.14 10.2 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:32 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.14 10.2 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:32 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $7.14 10.2 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:32 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) [Mertzzip](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Mertzzip) $7.14 10.2 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:32 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.14 10.2 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:30 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Mertzzip](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Mertzzip) $7.14 10.2 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:30 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $7.14 10.2 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:30 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) Hidden $7.14 10.2 coins $32.17 45.95 coins 4.50x 2026-11-12 09:30 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $7.14 10.2 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:29 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) [Mertzzip](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Mertzzip) $7.14 10.2 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.25 on average: an expected loss of $16.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt