--- title: "1% D LORE case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "1% D LORE ($62.58) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 9 items with odds, observed 87.76% over 3,315 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1percent-d-lore rendered: 2026-11-11T14:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [1% D LORE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1percent-d-lore) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · 1% D LORE A case on CSGORoll (1%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1percent-d-lore?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1percent-d-lore?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1percent-d-lore) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1percent-d-lore?window=all) Price · $62.58 · 89.4 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $56.89 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.76% · 3,315 openings, odds method Variance · 81.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 96.20% ±74.43 567 openings 7 days · 81.90% ±35.08 2,553 openings 30 days · 87.76% ±30.78 3,315 openings since tracking started · 87.76% ±30.78 3,315 openings 21.0% 96.3% 171.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1percent-d-lore?window=24h) | 567 | 96.20% ±74.4 | +0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1percent-d-lore?window=7d) | 2,553 | 81.90% ±35.1 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1percent-d-lore) | 3,315 | 87.76% ±30.8 | −0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/1percent-d-lore?window=all) | 3,315 | 87.76% ±30.8 | −0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,315 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $5,688 8,125 coins | 100.0% | 32 | 33.1 | 0.97× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 12.4% | $0.04 0.06 coins | 0.0% | 450 | 410.2 | 1.10× | | [Nova \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 12.4% | $0.03 0.04 coins | 0.0% | 410 | 410.2 | 1.00× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) | 12.4% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 405 | 410.2 | 0.99× | | [Nova \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) | 12.4% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 401 | 410.2 | 0.98× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 12.4% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 379 | 410.2 | 0.92× | | [Nova \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-well-worn) | 12.4% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 406 | 410.2 | 0.99× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) | 12.4% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 416 | 410.2 | 1.01× | | [Nova \| Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-battle-scarred) | 12.4% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 416 | 410.2 | 1.01× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) Hidden $62.58 89.4 coins $5,688 8,125 coins 90.88x 2026-11-11 10:35 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) Hidden $62.58 89.4 coins $5,688 8,125 coins 90.88x 2026-11-11 10:07 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) Hidden $62.58 89.4 coins $5,688 8,125 coins 90.88x 2026-11-11 10:06 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) Hidden $62.58 89.4 coins $5,688 8,125 coins 90.88x 2026-11-11 10:06 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) Hidden $62.58 89.4 coins $5,688 8,125 coins 90.88x 2026-11-11 05:36 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) Hidden $62.58 89.4 coins $5,688 8,125 coins 90.88x 2026-11-10 19:12 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) Hidden $62.58 89.4 coins $5,688 8,125 coins 90.88x 2026-11-10 14:42 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) Hidden $62.58 89.4 coins $5,688 8,125 coins 90.88x 2026-11-10 09:46 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) Hidden $62.58 89.4 coins $5,688 8,125 coins 90.88x 2026-11-09 15:28 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) Hidden $62.58 89.4 coins $5,688 8,125 coins 90.88x 2026-11-08 06:55 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=1percent-d-lore) [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $62.58 89.4 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:04 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-well-worn) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $62.58 89.4 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:04 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $62.58 89.4 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:04 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $62.58 89.4 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:04 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $62.58 89.4 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:04 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $62.58 89.4 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:04 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $62.58 89.4 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:04 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $62.58 89.4 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:04 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $62.58 89.4 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $62.58 89.4 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $62.58 | 90.91% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.0% consumer 99.0% best hit $5,688 (90.88x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt