--- title: "lowrisk case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "lowrisk ($3.56) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 362.12% over 6 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/2617902-lowrisk-1794001583164 rendered: 2026-11-12T15:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [lowrisk](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/2617902-lowrisk-1794001583164) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · lowrisk A case on CSGORoll, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/2617902-lowrisk-1794001583164?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/2617902-lowrisk-1794001583164?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/2617902-lowrisk-1794001583164) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/2617902-lowrisk-1794001583164?window=all) Price · $3.56 · 5.09 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 362.12% · 6 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 491.5% 983.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/2617902-lowrisk-1794001583164?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/2617902-lowrisk-1794001583164?window=7d) | 6 | 362.12% ±620.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/2617902-lowrisk-1794001583164) | 6 | 362.12% ±620.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/2617902-lowrisk-1794001583164?window=all) | 6 | 362.12% ±620.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=2617902-lowrisk-1794001583164) [SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-well-worn) Hidden $3.56 5.09 coins $0.34 0.49 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 06:19 UTC [SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-well-worn) Hidden $3.56 5.09 coins $0.34 0.49 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 06:19 UTC [SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-well-worn) Hidden $3.56 5.09 coins $0.34 0.49 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 06:19 UTC [SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-well-worn) Hidden $3.56 5.09 coins $0.34 0.49 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 06:19 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-scaffold-factory-new) [Saman](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Saman) $3.56 5.09 coins $6.96 9.95 coins 1.96x 2026-11-11 06:19 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Stained (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-stained-well-worn) Hidden $3.56 5.09 coins $69.01 98.58 coins 19.39x 2026-11-11 06:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 362.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $362.12 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt