---
title: "memes 4 case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "memes 4 ($6.82) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.70% over 1,823 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3776714-memes-4-1793225681476
rendered: 2026-11-12T17:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [memes 4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3776714-memes-4-1793225681476)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · memes 4

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3776714-memes-4-1793225681476?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3776714-memes-4-1793225681476?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3776714-memes-4-1793225681476) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3776714-memes-4-1793225681476?window=all)

Price · $6.82 · 9.75 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.70% · 1,823 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 55 openings · below min

7 days · 83.44% ±9.74 1,156 openings

30 days · 84.70% ±8.00 1,823 openings

since tracking started · 84.70% ±8.00 1,823 openings

25.0% 83.5% 142.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3776714-memes-4-1793225681476?window=24h) | 55 | 83.45% ±57.9 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3776714-memes-4-1793225681476?window=7d) | 1,156 | 83.44% ±9.74 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3776714-memes-4-1793225681476) | 1,823 | 84.70% ±8.00 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3776714-memes-4-1793225681476?window=all) | 1,823 | 84.70% ±8.00 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=3776714-memes-4-1793225681476)

[MP9 | Buff Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.74 9.63 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 14:11 UTC

[MP9 | Buff Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.74 9.63 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 14:11 UTC

[M4A4 | Spider Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-field-tested) Hidden $6.74 9.63 coins $7.16 10.23 coins 1.06x 2026-11-12 14:11 UTC

[M4A4 | Spider Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-field-tested) [tilted](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tilted) $6.74 9.63 coins $7.16 10.23 coins 1.06x 2026-11-12 14:11 UTC

[MP9 | Buff Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.74 9.63 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 13:49 UTC

[MP9 | Buff Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.74 9.63 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 13:49 UTC

[Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-battle-scarred) [tilted](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tilted) $6.74 9.63 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 13:49 UTC

[Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.74 9.63 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 13:49 UTC

[M4A4 | Spider Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-field-tested) Hidden $6.74 9.63 coins $7.16 10.23 coins 1.06x 2026-11-12 13:49 UTC

[FAMAS | Afterimage (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.74 9.63 coins $15.62 22.31 coins 2.32x 2026-11-12 13:49 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.70 on average: an expected loss of $15.30 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
