--- title: "Blacky case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Blacky ($70.35) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 4477.84% over 10 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3831842-blacky-1789865949956 rendered: 2026-11-13T09:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Blacky](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3831842-blacky-1789865949956) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Blacky A case on CSGORoll, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3831842-blacky-1789865949956?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3831842-blacky-1789865949956?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3831842-blacky-1789865949956) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3831842-blacky-1789865949956?window=all) Price · $70.35 · 100 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 4477.84% · 10 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 10 openings · below min since tracking started · 10 openings · below min -0.5% 6627.3% 13255.0% **Small sample.** 10 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3831842-blacky-1789865949956?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3831842-blacky-1789865949956?window=7d) | 6 | 0.01% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3831842-blacky-1789865949956) | 10 | 4477.84% ±8776.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3831842-blacky-1789865949956?window=all) | 10 | 4477.84% ±8776.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Black Laminate (Factory New) 4x Titan (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new-4x-titan-holo-factory-new) Hidden $70.35 100 coins $31.5K 45,000 coins 447.8x 2026-11-04 03:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=3831842-blacky-1789865949956) [Sticker | FURIA | Rio 2022 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-rio-2022) Hidden $70.35 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 09:19 UTC [Sticker | FURIA | Rio 2022 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-rio-2022) Hidden $70.35 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 09:19 UTC [Sticker | FURIA | Rio 2022 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-rio-2022) Hidden $70.35 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 09:19 UTC [Sticker | FURIA | Rio 2022 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-rio-2022) Hidden $70.35 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 09:19 UTC [Sticker | FURIA | Rio 2022 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-rio-2022) Hidden $70.35 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 09:19 UTC [Sticker | FURIA | Rio 2022 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-rio-2022) [bradbeloved](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/bradbeloved) $70.35 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 09:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $31.5K (447.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 4477.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $4,477.84 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt