--- title: "Ultimate Budget Win case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Ultimate Budget Win ($3.56) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 8.10% over 18 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3934304-ultimate-budget-win-1793893774196 rendered: 2026-11-12T19:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Ultimate Budget Win](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3934304-ultimate-budget-win-1793893774196) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Ultimate Budget Win A case on CSGORoll, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3934304-ultimate-budget-win-1793893774196?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3934304-ultimate-budget-win-1793893774196?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3934304-ultimate-budget-win-1793893774196) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3934304-ultimate-budget-win-1793893774196?window=all) Price · $3.56 · 5.09 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 8.10% · 18 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 18 openings · below min 30 days · 18 openings · below min since tracking started · 18 openings · below min -0.5% 6.5% 13.5% **Small sample.** 18 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3934304-ultimate-budget-win-1793893774196?window=24h) | 6 | 4.00% ±6.83 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3934304-ultimate-budget-win-1793893774196?window=7d) | 18 | 8.10% ±4.56 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3934304-ultimate-budget-win-1793893774196) | 18 | 8.10% ±4.56 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/3934304-ultimate-budget-win-1793893774196?window=all) | 18 | 8.10% ±4.56 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=3934304-ultimate-budget-win-1793893774196) [Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-navy-sheen-field-tested) [Sasuke](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Sasuke) $3.53 5.04 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 01:43 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $3.53 5.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 01:43 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $3.53 5.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 01:43 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $3.53 5.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 01:43 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-apocalypto-field-tested) Hidden $3.53 5.04 coins $0.76 1.08 coins 0.21x 2026-11-12 01:43 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-navy-sheen-field-tested) Hidden $3.53 5.04 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 01:43 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-apocalypto-field-tested) Hidden $3.56 5.09 coins $0.71 1.01 coins 0.20x 2026-11-08 13:27 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-navy-sheen-field-tested) Hidden $3.56 5.09 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-08 13:27 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $3.56 5.09 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 13:27 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $3.56 5.09 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 13:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 8.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $8.10 on average: an expected loss of $91.90 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt