--- title: "Criminal 5% case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Criminal 5% ($6.11) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 56.62% over 892 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4822391-criminal-5percent-1793718077341 rendered: 2026-11-13T04:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Criminal 5%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4822391-criminal-5percent-1793718077341) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Criminal 5% A case on CSGORoll, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4822391-criminal-5percent-1793718077341?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4822391-criminal-5percent-1793718077341?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4822391-criminal-5percent-1793718077341) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4822391-criminal-5percent-1793718077341?window=all) Price · $6.11 · 8.72 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 56.62% · 892 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 46 openings · below min 30 days · 892 openings · below min since tracking started · 892 openings · below min -0.5% 54.8% 110.0% **Small sample.** 892 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4822391-criminal-5percent-1793718077341?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4822391-criminal-5percent-1793718077341?window=7d) | 46 | 0.11% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4822391-criminal-5percent-1793718077341) | 892 | 56.62% ±52.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4822391-criminal-5percent-1793718077341?window=all) | 892 | 56.62% ±52.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) [NoNoNo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/NoNoNo) $6.11 8.72 coins $1,399 1,999 coins 229.2x 2026-11-04 22:18 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) [NoNoNo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/NoNoNo) $6.11 8.72 coins $350 500 coins 57.32x 2026-11-03 16:11 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=4822391-criminal-5percent-1793718077341) [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $6.11 8.72 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 00:07 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $6.11 8.72 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 00:07 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $6.11 8.72 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 00:07 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $6.11 8.72 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 00:07 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $6.11 8.72 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 00:07 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [NoNoNo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/NoNoNo) $6.11 8.72 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 00:07 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $6.11 8.72 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 00:06 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $6.11 8.72 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 00:06 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $6.11 8.72 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 00:06 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $6.11 8.72 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 00:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,399 (229.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 56.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $56.62 on average: an expected loss of $43.38 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt