--- title: "5% Joker case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "5% Joker ($44.80) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 38.61% over 20 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4979176-5percent-joker-1784639418459 rendered: 2026-11-13T03:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [5% Joker](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4979176-5percent-joker-1784639418459) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · 5% Joker A case on CSGORoll, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4979176-5percent-joker-1784639418459?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4979176-5percent-joker-1784639418459?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4979176-5percent-joker-1784639418459) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4979176-5percent-joker-1784639418459?window=all) Price · $44.80 · 63.99 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 38.61% · 20 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 20 openings · below min 30 days · 20 openings · below min since tracking started · 20 openings · below min -0.5% 57.3% 115.0% **Small sample.** 20 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4979176-5percent-joker-1784639418459?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4979176-5percent-joker-1784639418459?window=7d) | 20 | 38.61% ±75.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4979176-5percent-joker-1784639418459) | 20 | 38.61% ±75.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/4979176-5percent-joker-1784639418459?window=all) | 20 | 38.61% ±75.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=4979176-5percent-joker-1784639418459) [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.80 63.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 08:57 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [bradbeloved](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/bradbeloved) $44.80 63.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 08:57 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.80 63.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 08:26 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.80 63.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 08:26 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.80 63.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 08:26 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.80 63.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 08:26 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.80 63.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 08:26 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [bradbeloved](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/bradbeloved) $44.80 63.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 08:26 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.80 63.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 08:11 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.80 63.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 08:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 38.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $38.61 on average: an expected loss of $61.39 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt