--- title: "10% Knife GUARANTEED case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Knife GUARANTEED ($5.31) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 160.21% over 162 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5531440-10percent-knife-guaranteed rendered: 2026-11-12T08:30Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [10% Knife GUARANTEED](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5531440-10percent-knife-guaranteed) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · 10% Knife GUARANTEED A case on CSGORoll, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5531440-10percent-knife-guaranteed?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5531440-10percent-knife-guaranteed?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5531440-10percent-knife-guaranteed) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5531440-10percent-knife-guaranteed?window=all) Price · $5.31 · 7.59 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 160.21% · 162 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 162 openings · below min 30 days · 162 openings · below min since tracking started · 162 openings · below min 78.0% 160.3% 242.5% **Small sample.** 162 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5531440-10percent-knife-guaranteed?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5531440-10percent-knife-guaranteed?window=7d) | 162 | 160.21% ±81.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5531440-10percent-knife-guaranteed) | 162 | 160.21% ±81.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5531440-10percent-knife-guaranteed?window=all) | 162 | 160.21% ±81.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $285 407 coins 55.63x 2026-11-10 09:50 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=5531440-10percent-knife-guaranteed) [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 20:57 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 20:57 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 20:57 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 20:57 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) [fast csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/fast%20csgoroll.com) $5.12 7.32 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 20:57 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $35.97 51.38 coins 7.02x 2026-11-10 20:57 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 10:06 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 10:06 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 10:06 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $5.12 7.32 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 10:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $285 (55.63x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 160.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $160.21 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt