--- title: "Ligma Balls 1% case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Ligma Balls 1% ($9.76) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 79.48% over 1,254 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5935265-ligma-balls-1percent-1766038518536 rendered: 2026-11-13T05:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Ligma Balls 1%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5935265-ligma-balls-1percent-1766038518536) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Ligma Balls 1% A case on CSGORoll, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5935265-ligma-balls-1percent-1766038518536?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5935265-ligma-balls-1percent-1766038518536?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5935265-ligma-balls-1percent-1766038518536) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5935265-ligma-balls-1percent-1766038518536?window=all) Price · $9.76 · 13.95 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 79.48% · 1,254 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 133 openings · below min 7 days · 908 openings · below min 30 days · 79.48% ±56.08 1,254 openings since tracking started · 79.48% ±56.08 1,254 openings -0.5% 90.5% 181.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5935265-ligma-balls-1percent-1766038518536?window=24h) | 133 | 40.01% ±78.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5935265-ligma-balls-1percent-1766038518536?window=7d) | 908 | 104.08% ±76.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5935265-ligma-balls-1percent-1766038518536) | 1,254 | 79.48% ±56.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/5935265-ligma-balls-1percent-1766038518536?window=all) | 1,254 | 79.48% ±56.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $9.76 13.95 coins $2,818 4,025 coins 288.6x 2026-11-08 07:42 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $9.69 13.84 coins $1,114 1,591 coins 115.0x 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $9.69 13.84 coins $1,114 1,591 coins 115.0x 2026-11-09 18:28 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) [Ligma Balls](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Ligma%20Balls) $9.76 13.95 coins $638 912 coins 65.39x 2026-11-07 05:22 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $9.69 13.84 coins $610 872 coins 63.02x 2026-11-12 22:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-field-tested) Hidden $9.69 13.84 coins $598 854 coins 61.72x 2026-11-09 19:38 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-field-tested) Hidden $9.69 13.84 coins $598 854 coins 61.72x 2026-11-09 18:10 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $9.69 13.84 coins $517 738 coins 53.34x 2026-11-09 18:54 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [Ligma Balls](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Ligma%20Balls) $9.76 13.95 coins $517 738 coins 52.91x 2026-11-03 09:15 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-stained-field-tested) Hidden $9.69 13.84 coins $515 735 coins 53.12x 2026-11-12 21:50 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=5935265-ligma-balls-1percent-1766038518536) [MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-acid-hex-well-worn) Hidden $9.69 13.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:34 UTC [MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-acid-hex-well-worn) [Ligma Balls](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Ligma%20Balls) $9.69 13.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:34 UTC [MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-acid-hex-well-worn) Hidden $9.69 13.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:34 UTC [MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-acid-hex-well-worn) Hidden $9.69 13.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:34 UTC [MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-acid-hex-well-worn) Hidden $9.69 13.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:34 UTC [MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-acid-hex-well-worn) Hidden $9.69 13.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:34 UTC [MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-acid-hex-well-worn) [Ligma Balls](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Ligma%20Balls) $9.69 13.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:34 UTC [MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-acid-hex-well-worn) Hidden $9.69 13.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:34 UTC [MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-acid-hex-well-worn) Hidden $9.69 13.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:34 UTC [MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-acid-hex-well-worn) Hidden $9.69 13.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,818 (288.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 79.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $79.48 on average: an expected loss of $20.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt