--- title: "5% GEMZ case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "5% GEMZ ($17.07) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.23% over 1,362 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-5percent-gemz-1775277809361 rendered: 2026-11-12T23:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [5% GEMZ](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-5percent-gemz-1775277809361) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · 5% GEMZ A case on CSGORoll, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-5percent-gemz-1775277809361?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-5percent-gemz-1775277809361?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-5percent-gemz-1775277809361) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-5percent-gemz-1775277809361?window=all) Price · $17.07 · 24.38 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.23% · 1,362 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 264 openings · below min 7 days · 89.23% ±46.12 1,362 openings 30 days · 89.23% ±46.12 1,362 openings since tracking started · 89.23% ±46.12 1,362 openings -0.5% 67.8% 136.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-5percent-gemz-1775277809361?window=24h) | 264 | 59.50% ±59.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-5percent-gemz-1775277809361?window=7d) | 1,362 | 89.23% ±46.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-5percent-gemz-1775277809361) | 1,362 | 89.23% ±46.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-5percent-gemz-1775277809361?window=all) | 1,362 | 89.23% ±46.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $16.62 23.74 coins $2,615 3,735 coins 157.3x 2026-11-10 10:20 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $16.62 23.74 coins $2,615 3,735 coins 157.3x 2026-11-10 04:24 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $16.62 23.74 coins $2,615 3,735 coins 157.3x 2026-11-10 00:19 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $16.62 23.74 coins $1,170 1,672 coins 70.43x 2026-11-12 21:45 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $16.62 23.74 coins $1,170 1,672 coins 70.43x 2026-11-10 04:22 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $16.62 23.74 coins $1,170 1,672 coins 70.43x 2026-11-10 04:21 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $16.62 23.74 coins $1,170 1,672 coins 70.43x 2026-11-10 01:10 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · #ffd700 · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $17.07 24.38 coins $645 921 coins 37.77x 2026-11-07 23:21 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · #ffd700 · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) [iLL](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/iLL) $16.62 23.74 coins $629 899 coins 37.87x 2026-11-12 21:25 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · #ffd700 · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $16.62 23.74 coins $629 899 coins 37.87x 2026-11-10 07:44 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=6021790-5percent-gemz-1775277809361) [Nova | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [iLL](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/iLL) $16.62 23.74 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 23:16 UTC [Sticker | Team Liquid | Stockholm 2021 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-stockholm-2021) Hidden $16.62 23.74 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 23:16 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.62 23.74 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 23:16 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.62 23.74 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 23:16 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.62 23.74 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 23:16 UTC [Sticker | Team Liquid | Stockholm 2021 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-stockholm-2021) Hidden $16.62 23.74 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 23:16 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.62 23.74 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 23:12 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.62 23.74 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 23:12 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.62 23.74 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 23:12 UTC [Sticker | Team Liquid | Stockholm 2021 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-stockholm-2021) Hidden $16.62 23.74 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 23:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,615 (157.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.23 on average: an expected loss of $10.77 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt