--- title: "TaLoN 1% case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "TaLoN 1% ($4.33) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 117.71% over 1,512 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-talon-1percent-1768588120158 rendered: 2026-11-13T05:15Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [TaLoN 1%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-talon-1percent-1768588120158) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · TaLoN 1% A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-talon-1percent-1768588120158?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-talon-1percent-1768588120158?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-talon-1percent-1768588120158) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-talon-1percent-1768588120158?window=all) Price · $4.33 · 6.18 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 117.71% · 1,512 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 294 openings · below min 7 days · 115.54% ±51.35 1,464 openings 30 days · 117.71% ±50.99 1,512 openings since tracking started · 117.71% ±50.99 1,512 openings 37.5% 181.3% 325.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-talon-1percent-1768588120158?window=24h) | 294 | 181.18% ±143.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-talon-1percent-1768588120158?window=7d) | 1,464 | 115.54% ±51.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-talon-1percent-1768588120158) | 1,512 | 117.71% ±51.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6021790-talon-1percent-1768588120158?window=all) | 1,512 | 117.71% ±51.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) [iLL](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/iLL) $4.39 6.27 coins $389 555 coins 88.47x 2026-11-12 23:17 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.39 6.27 coins $389 555 coins 88.47x 2026-11-12 16:08 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.39 6.27 coins $389 555 coins 88.47x 2026-11-12 16:06 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.39 6.27 coins $389 555 coins 88.47x 2026-11-12 16:06 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.39 6.27 coins $389 555 coins 88.47x 2026-11-12 09:17 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) [iLL](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/iLL) $4.39 6.27 coins $389 555 coins 88.47x 2026-11-12 09:09 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) [iLL](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/iLL) $4.39 6.27 coins $389 555 coins 88.47x 2026-11-11 09:24 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.39 6.27 coins $389 555 coins 88.47x 2026-11-11 01:47 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.39 6.27 coins $389 555 coins 88.47x 2026-11-11 01:46 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.39 6.27 coins $389 555 coins 88.47x 2026-11-11 00:02 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=6021790-talon-1percent-1768588120158) [Sticker | arT | Austin 2025 sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-art-austin-2025) Hidden $4.39 6.27 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-13 00:19 UTC [Sticker | s1n (Foil) | Austin 2025 sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1n-foil-austin-2025) Hidden $4.39 6.27 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:19 UTC [Sticker | s1n (Foil) | Austin 2025 sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1n-foil-austin-2025) Hidden $4.39 6.27 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:19 UTC [Sticker | s1n (Foil) | Austin 2025 sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1n-foil-austin-2025) Hidden $4.39 6.27 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:19 UTC [Sticker | arT | Austin 2025 sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-art-austin-2025) Hidden $4.39 6.27 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-13 00:19 UTC [Sticker | s1n (Foil) | Austin 2025 sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1n-foil-austin-2025) [iLL](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/iLL) $4.39 6.27 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:19 UTC [Sticker | s1n (Foil) | Austin 2025 sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1n-foil-austin-2025) Hidden $4.39 6.27 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:19 UTC [Sticker | arT | Austin 2025 sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-art-austin-2025) Hidden $4.39 6.27 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-13 00:19 UTC [Sticker | arT | Austin 2025 sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-art-austin-2025) Hidden $4.39 6.27 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-13 00:19 UTC [Sticker | arT | Austin 2025 sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-art-austin-2025) Hidden $4.39 6.27 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-13 00:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $389 (88.47x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 117.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $117.71 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt