--- title: "10% GARANTEED case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% GARANTEED ($6.17) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 97.34% over 155 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6424277-10percent-garanteed rendered: 2026-11-12T08:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [10% GARANTEED](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6424277-10percent-garanteed) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · 10% GARANTEED A case on CSGORoll, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6424277-10percent-garanteed?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6424277-10percent-garanteed?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6424277-10percent-garanteed) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6424277-10percent-garanteed?window=all) Price · $6.17 · 8.81 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 97.34% · 155 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 108 openings · below min 30 days · 155 openings · below min since tracking started · 155 openings · below min -0.5% 104.5% 209.5% **Small sample.** 155 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6424277-10percent-garanteed?window=24h) | 18 | 83.64% ±110.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6424277-10percent-garanteed?window=7d) | 108 | 120.14% ±88.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6424277-10percent-garanteed) | 155 | 97.34% ±63.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6424277-10percent-garanteed?window=all) | 155 | 97.34% ±63.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=6424277-10percent-garanteed) [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-field-tested) [Dommemannen](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Dommemannen) $6.03 8.62 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 08:15 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $6.03 8.62 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 08:15 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $6.03 8.62 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 08:15 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $6.03 8.62 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 08:15 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $6.03 8.62 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 08:15 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $6.03 8.62 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 08:15 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $6.03 8.62 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 05:30 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $6.03 8.62 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 05:30 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $6.03 8.62 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 05:30 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $6.03 8.62 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 05:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 97.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $97.34 on average: an expected loss of $2.66 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt