--- title: "Reasonable case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Reasonable ($4.64) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 23.08% over 24 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6511508-reasonable-1791659008812 rendered: 2026-11-12T13:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Reasonable](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6511508-reasonable-1791659008812) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Reasonable A case on CSGORoll, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6511508-reasonable-1791659008812?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6511508-reasonable-1791659008812?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6511508-reasonable-1791659008812) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6511508-reasonable-1791659008812?window=all) Price · $4.64 · 6.63 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 23.08% · 24 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 24 openings · below min since tracking started · 24 openings · below min 0.5% 23.0% 45.5% **Small sample.** 24 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6511508-reasonable-1791659008812?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6511508-reasonable-1791659008812?window=7d) | 24 | 23.08% ±21.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6511508-reasonable-1791659008812) | 24 | 23.08% ±21.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6511508-reasonable-1791659008812?window=all) | 24 | 23.08% ±21.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=6511508-reasonable-1791659008812) [Sticker | This Is Fine (H) sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-h) Hidden $4.64 6.63 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:39 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (H) sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-h) Hidden $4.64 6.63 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:39 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (H) sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-h) Hidden $4.64 6.63 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:39 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (H) sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-h) Hidden $4.64 6.63 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:39 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (H) sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-h) Hidden $4.64 6.63 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:39 UTC [Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) [cwenwen0927](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/cwenwen0927) $4.64 6.63 coins $0.60 0.86 coins 0.13x 2026-11-10 09:39 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (H) sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-h) [cwenwen0927](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/cwenwen0927) $4.64 6.63 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:36 UTC [Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) Hidden $4.64 6.63 coins $0.60 0.86 coins 0.13x 2026-11-10 09:36 UTC [Sticker | Battle Scarred sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.64 6.63 coins $3.00 4.29 coins 0.65x 2026-11-10 09:36 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (H) sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-h) Hidden $4.64 6.63 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 23.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $23.08 on average: an expected loss of $76.92 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt