---
title: "Nematelord 10% case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Nematelord 10% ($31.72) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 58.15% over 12 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6784904-nematelord-10percent-1763982910704
rendered: 2026-11-13T06:39Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Nematelord 10%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6784904-nematelord-10percent-1763982910704)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Nematelord 10%

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6784904-nematelord-10percent-1763982910704?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6784904-nematelord-10percent-1763982910704?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6784904-nematelord-10percent-1763982910704) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6784904-nematelord-10percent-1763982910704?window=all)

Price · $31.72 · 45.31 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 58.15% · 12 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 12 openings · below min

30 days · 12 openings · below min

since tracking started · 12 openings · below min

-0.5% 75.8% 152.0%

**Small sample.** 12 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6784904-nematelord-10percent-1763982910704?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6784904-nematelord-10percent-1763982910704?window=7d) | 12 | 58.15% ±93.3 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6784904-nematelord-10percent-1763982910704) | 12 | 58.15% ±93.3 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6784904-nematelord-10percent-1763982910704?window=all) | 12 | 58.15% ±93.3 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=6784904-nematelord-10percent-1763982910704)

[Charm | Austin 2025 Highlight | Stand Still charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-austin-2025-highlight-stand-still) Hidden $31.55 45.07 coins $3.88 5.54 coins 0.12x 2026-11-09 09:19 UTC

[Charm | Austin 2025 Highlight | Pistol King charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-austin-2025-highlight-pistol-king) Hidden $31.55 45.07 coins $3.18 4.55 coins 0.10x 2026-11-09 09:19 UTC

[Charm | Austin 2025 Highlight | Pistol King charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-austin-2025-highlight-pistol-king) Hidden $31.55 45.07 coins $3.18 4.55 coins 0.10x 2026-11-09 09:19 UTC

[Charm | Austin 2025 Highlight | Stand Still charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-austin-2025-highlight-stand-still) Hidden $31.55 45.07 coins $3.88 5.54 coins 0.12x 2026-11-09 09:19 UTC

[Charm | Austin 2025 Highlight | Pistol King charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-austin-2025-highlight-pistol-king) [voz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/voz) $31.55 45.07 coins $3.18 4.55 coins 0.10x 2026-11-09 09:19 UTC

[Charm | Austin 2025 Highlight | Pistol King charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-austin-2025-highlight-pistol-king) Hidden $31.55 45.07 coins $3.18 4.55 coins 0.10x 2026-11-09 09:19 UTC

[Charm | Austin 2025 Highlight | Pistol King charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-austin-2025-highlight-pistol-king) Hidden $31.72 45.31 coins $3.19 4.56 coins 0.10x 2026-11-07 08:58 UTC

[Charm | Austin 2025 Highlight | Pistol King charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-austin-2025-highlight-pistol-king) [voz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/voz) $31.72 45.31 coins $3.19 4.56 coins 0.10x 2026-11-07 08:58 UTC

[Charm | Austin 2025 Highlight | Stand Still charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-austin-2025-highlight-stand-still) Hidden $31.72 45.31 coins $3.37 4.81 coins 0.11x 2026-11-07 08:58 UTC

[Charm | Austin 2025 Highlight | Pistol King charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-austin-2025-highlight-pistol-king) Hidden $31.72 45.31 coins $3.19 4.56 coins 0.10x 2026-11-07 08:58 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 58.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $58.15 on average: an expected loss of $41.85 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
