--- title: "Fade 20% Profit case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Fade 20% Profit ($5.30) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.86% over 45 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6812047-fade-20percent-profit-1753221005686 rendered: 2026-11-13T08:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Fade 20% Profit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6812047-fade-20percent-profit-1753221005686) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Fade 20% Profit A case on CSGORoll, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6812047-fade-20percent-profit-1753221005686?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6812047-fade-20percent-profit-1753221005686?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6812047-fade-20percent-profit-1753221005686) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6812047-fade-20percent-profit-1753221005686?window=all) Price · $5.30 · 7.58 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 81.86% · 45 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 38 openings · below min 7 days · 43 openings · below min 30 days · 45 openings · below min since tracking started · 45 openings · below min 57.0% 83.7% 110.5% **Small sample.** 45 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6812047-fade-20percent-profit-1753221005686?window=24h) | 38 | 80.66% ±16.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6812047-fade-20percent-profit-1753221005686?window=7d) | 43 | 84.87% ±25.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6812047-fade-20percent-profit-1753221005686) | 45 | 81.86% ±24.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6812047-fade-20percent-profit-1753221005686?window=all) | 45 | 81.86% ±24.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=6812047-fade-20percent-profit-1753221005686) [Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $5.18 7.4 coins $5.01 7.15 coins 0.97x 2026-11-13 00:21 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $5.18 7.4 coins $0.95 1.36 coins 0.18x 2026-11-13 00:21 UTC [Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-amber-fade-well-worn) Hidden $5.18 7.4 coins $4.67 6.67 coins 0.90x 2026-11-13 00:21 UTC [Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-amber-fade-field-tested) [Darian](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Darian) $5.18 7.4 coins $5.01 7.15 coins 0.97x 2026-11-13 00:21 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $5.18 7.4 coins $0.95 1.36 coins 0.18x 2026-11-13 00:21 UTC [MP7 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) Hidden $5.18 7.4 coins $9.84 14.06 coins 1.90x 2026-11-13 00:21 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $5.18 7.4 coins $0.95 1.36 coins 0.18x 2026-11-13 00:21 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $5.18 7.4 coins $0.95 1.36 coins 0.18x 2026-11-13 00:21 UTC [Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $5.18 7.4 coins $5.01 7.15 coins 0.97x 2026-11-13 00:21 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $5.18 7.4 coins $0.95 1.36 coins 0.18x 2026-11-13 00:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.86 on average: an expected loss of $18.14 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt